Why are the media so sure the Dems will lose the House in November?

[DeeDeeNY]

That is a sickening thought.

[lagomorph777]

1. Rootin' for Pootin.

It's wishful thinking.

[question everything]

2. Historically, the party in the White House loses seats in midterm

And with a very slim majority, there are no seats to spare.

[themaguffin]

3. Historically, it's not good for the party who has the WH; I don't think that polling has been great

but I haven't followed it closely.

[FBaggins]

4. That's what the polls are saying at this point

Things can still change - but as things currently stand, the question will be how much we lose by, not whether.

[Gregory Peccary]

5. We suck

It's just sickening to acknowledge that so many Americans would willing vote to install the complete shitshow that we all know would be the result of Reps winning the house.

[Mad_Machine76]

8. I don't know if it would be so much because of GOP popularity

but low turnout on our side is always a problems during midterms when we hold the WH. Hopefully that dynamic changes and/or the Republican base is not as energized this year and/or a bunch of Trumpians win primaries.

[Mad_Machine76]

6. History

although Republicans gained in the 2002 midterms (in the midst of 9/11, ramp up to Iraq). We haven't gained seats at any point during midterms when we've held the WH since Clinton. Of course, this year might present some unique dynamics.

[nevergiveup]

7. I think much of it this year will depend

on whether Covid ( a new variant) comes roaring back late summer, early fall. If this doesn't happen and Russia doesn't start a third world war I believe the Dems will have a fighting chance of holding onto the House.

[BlueJac]

9. They want them to lose...

They hate liberal values! BIG BUSINESS BABY!

[RainCaster]

10. It gets more eyeballs, hence revenue

Traditionallly, that would be true - the whole idea that the president's opposing party wins the mid year. But this time the GOP has gone off the deep end, they are running the craziest candidates possible. IMO, many conservatives will stay away this fall because they only have loony choices.

[haele]

11. It's their narrative. They're trying to write the story again...

Those silly Dems, they aren't the real heros of society. Real heros are small businessmen or well off philanthropist type folks with nobless oblige - or are the plucky, hard working, simple but always suffering poor rural folk.
Dems are elitist, over-educated know-it-alls who have weak, misguided social sympathies with low folks of questionable morals and are supposed to get theirs in the end.
They also don't throw those great parties where people can just have fun doing whatever they want without having to worry about some SJW the next morning getting into faces because of some stupid lack of consent mistake or erratic driving afterwards.
Stupid Dems.

I can guarantee you that's behind a lot of attitudes from the established media and glitterati style reporting that goes on in the major media outlets when it comes to Democrats and anything to do with actual governance. Journalism has been further reduced to infotainment and story-telling over the past few decades. Real life activities to keep things running smoothly just aren't that exciting and should be shunned by reporters.

Haele

[Uncle Joe]

12. Because they're corporate first and it's easier for them to manipulate the American People if

Last edited Mon Feb 14, 2022, 04:12 PM - Edit history (1)

they can keep them thinking in limited frames, ie: "Presidents have historically lost the house in their first term in recent decades," now if you report that piece of historical trivia ad nauseum without any more in-depth coverage as to why, the people are less likely to question it.

It fosters a just the way it's supposed to be kind of mentality and I believe from a sociological perspective, a piece of historical trivia becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Thanks for the thread DeeDeeNY.

[crickets]

17. +1

[Deminpenn]

13. Conventional wisdom

The lazy approach to analysis taken by far too many journalists.

[jrthin]

14. Because they are working really hard to make it happen.

As Robert Reich said, they have their finger on the scale.

[Claustrum]

15. They were sure about us gaining control of the house in 2017-2018 too.

They based it on historical trend and polling. And they were right in 2018. We will have to see if they are right this year too. But they don’t have a special agenda against us, at least on this topic.

[Bettie]

16. Because the people who OWN the media want that

and the worker bees are kept on task: stoking hatred of Biden and Democrats.

[Tree Lady]

18. Normally dems tend to not vote as much

In the off years. But with how wacko Trumps cult is the media might be surprised.

[DeeDeeNY]

20. I sure hope you're right

Dems really have to come out and vote.

[ForgedCrank]

19. They aren't sure,

they are simply trying to convince YOU that it will happen. This baloney really irritates me when they do it.

[Brainfodder]

21. That is what the owners of the media WANT?