3 Hours on OSINT and Here's some things that look to be true about Ukraine war

[uponit7771]

3 Hours on OSINT and Here's some things that look to be true about Ukraine war

- Ukraine is NO DOUBT winning the world wide social media message. Putler is now the international name for Putin and Russian people know about what's happening in their name and the economic hell that's coming. Zelensky is a folk hero and Benedict Donald's Pimp is the asshole, pretty black and white picture of who's on the wrong side.

- Russia does NOT have complete air superiority (verified by Pentagon) and no established air operations inside UKR or no safe LZ for mass resupply. This is PART of what's slowing RU forces down

- Russia has half naked to fully naked supply lines and those lines are being hit. The tactic is to let the tanks roll by then UKR forces attack Russian fuel, food and logistics resources. It looks like that is working who knows how long seeing we've only seen 1/3 or RU forces in the area.

- There are too many videos and translations etc of captured RU troops where the RU troops don't know what's going on or don't know even the slither of the picture. The one-sided nature of videos makes people want to see what the Russian troops are seeing of captured UKR forces because there are too many of vids of RU Forces not knowing what day it is.

Sadly ...

- With Putler's spearhead blunted he gets frustrated and RU Forces are moving unguided missiles (without resupply mind you) to positions outside of Kyiv but not even thunder running into the city. Looks like they're going to go "Full Grozny" on Kyiv which fits Pulter's pattern in Damascus and Georgia; when things get slow murder everything moving.

EDIT: Col Vindman was on Velshy talking about the supply line stretch ... He's starting to say UKR defeat isn't a sure thing also.

I know I know, wishful thinking but the tactic is sound; UKR keeps RU from getting air control and they have a chance of putting RU into a slow "grind" with continued supply line attacks.

Why else would Putler need to call up troops from Kazakhstan?

[gab13by13]

1. According to Rachel,

Kazakhstan turned Putin down.

[tetedur]

2. Why call up troops in Kazakhstan?

Get someone else to do your dirty work. No sweat off Putler's brow. Widen the conflict. Reap the benefits of someone else's blood. Get whomever will to follow you down the path of your folly.

Thanks for your summary. I'm going to try to find out what is OSINT.

[uponit7771]

3. yep, and it looks like Kaz turned Putler down ! Yeah, if we see this decent continue for another wee

... week Putler is going to get desperate.

OS-INT is Open Source Intelligence ... stuff that's open to the Rest of the world. This is the reason I don't see another 1939 war of aggression happening without some SERIOUS blow back any longer; everyone knows what's happen and there are too many camera's in the hands of everyday citizens.

The drill down in this account is hellish but worth it

https://twitter.com/i/lists/1009622589029875712?t=wXjjaAMDIpgZtswRft9Blg&s=09

[Deminpenn]

10. Surprised all these gun-totin', freedom-loving

Trump-loving American rw'ers haven't been volunteering in droves to go to Ukraine and join the Russian side.

[Tetrachloride]

4. Wild guess. Putin is afraid to use more Moscow area troops

[uponit7771]

5. +1, makes sense UKR is looking like a meat grinder. Even if HALF the troop casualties reported by ..

... UKR MoD is true that's still 100% bad for Putler

[Tetrachloride]

8. 2 scenarios

1. disloyal troops are no use, of course

2. but what if there are not enough loyal troops to keep a hold on Moscow

cf Tom Clancy novel Red Storm Rising

[msfiddlestix]

15. MoD means Military Defense, but what does UKR stand for?

Don't mean to be dense, just couldn't decipher.

Thanks for this breakdown, though. Leaves me feeling a lot more optimistic this morning..

[gab13by13]

6. I think we need to get on board with the name Putler.

[multigraincracker]

11. I'm a little slow.

Took a couple of responses to get it. But, it sure works.

[Deminpenn]

7. Iraqis did the same to US supply lines during

that war. The US made little to no effort to secure its supply line making it an easy target. Will never forget Rumsfeld's comment that he neither knew nor cared about logistics.

[uponit7771]

9. WOW !! and US had air sup over Iraq in less than a week. I don't think Iraqis populace ...

... by the US as UKR is threatened by Putler though.

Putler is in for some hell, also the whole southwestern side of UKR is free to UA force

[Deminpenn]

14. That was just a stunning comment by Rumsfeld

especially to someone who worked in supply and logistics. As I remember it, Rumsfeld just thought the US superior air power and military was enough to overpower Iraq (it was) and that would be that.

[uponit7771]

16. Yep, Rumsfeld was a know nothing also ... my goodness, look what could've gone into America

... if these assholes weren't in power.

Fuckin SC

[Walleye]

12. Maybe Putin is about to go through some things.

[uponit7771]

13. lol 👍,