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applegrove

(118,828 posts)
Tue Mar 1, 2022, 04:15 PM Mar 2022

Asteroid No Longer Predicted to Hit Earth

Asteroid No Longer Predicted to Hit Earth

March 1, 2022 at 3:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 20 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2022/03/01/asteroid-no-longer-predicted-to-hit-earth/

"SNIP........

“Initial observations of an asteroid dubbed ‘2022 AE1’ showed a potential Earth impact on July 4, 2023—not enough time to attempt deflection and large enough to do real damage to a local area should it strike,” Phys.org reports.

“It has since been confirmed that 2022 AE1 will not impact Earth.”

Goddard: As John Ellis noted: Finally, some really good news.

......SNIP:

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Asteroid No Longer Predicted to Hit Earth (Original Post) applegrove Mar 2022 OP
I will now change my plans for July 4, 2023. Sneederbunk Mar 2022 #1
Dammit greenjar_01 Mar 2022 #2
+1000 roamer65 Mar 2022 #11
As any self-respecting asteroid would do at this point. Hugin Mar 2022 #3
Putin fails again lame54 Mar 2022 #4
Thanks Biden. JasonMain Mar 2022 #5
can we direct one qazplm135 Mar 2022 #6
Except it never was Disaffected Mar 2022 #7
So I can look up again? n/t PoliticAverse Mar 2022 #8
More detailed article csziggy Mar 2022 #9
A 70 meter asteroid NBachers Mar 2022 #10
would have been a helluva fireworks show.... bahboo Mar 2022 #12

csziggy

(34,138 posts)
9. More detailed article
Tue Mar 1, 2022, 04:30 PM
Mar 2022
Asteroid 2022 AE1 poses no danger to Earth
Posted by Eddie Irizarry and Editors of EarthSky
January 25, 2022

Asteroid 2022 AE1 caused a bit of a stir following its discovery on January 6, 2022. Scientists at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena California temporarily placed it in level 1 on the Torino scale. The scale is intended to convey the seriousness of a given asteroid’s potential for collision with Earth. It goes from 0 to 10. A 10 on the Torino scale indicates a collision is certain, and the impacting object is large enough to precipitate a global disaster. All other known asteroids on the Torino scale are currently level 0. They pose no risk of impacting Earth. Why was 2022 AE1 placed at 1 on the Tonino scale?

A little while after 2022 AE1’s discovery, scientists moved it back down to level 0, only to move it back to level 1 when they realized it would have a close encounter in early July 2023. Then, on January 20, 2022, the asteroid 2022 AE1 entered the list of Removed Objects. Time to breathe a sigh of relief. But why? Why didn’t astronomers know all along?

How big is it?

Asteroid 2022 AE1 is an Apollo-type asteroid. It has an estimated size of 230 feet (70 m) in diameter. It’s more than three times the size of the small asteroid that disintegrated over the skies of Chelyabinsk, Russia, on February 15, 2013. It’s about the same size as the space rock that caused the Tunguska event in 1908, also in Russia, which released enough energy to kill reindeer and flatten an estimated 80 million trees over an area of 830 square miles (2,150 square km). In 1908, witnesses reported seeing a fireball – a bluish light, nearly as bright as the sun – moving across the sky. A flash and a sound similar to artillery fire was said to follow it. A powerful shockwave broke windows hundreds of miles away and knocked people off their feet.

So asteroid 2022 AE1 is, apparently, plenty big enough to cause a “destructive event” on Earth. Why didn’t astronomers know for certain how dangerous it was? And why did it cause a stir?

More: https://earthsky.org/space/asteroid-2022-ae1-poses-no-danger-to-earth/
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