UKRAINE CONFLICT UPDATE 15
Institute for the Study of War, Russia Team
with the Critical Threats Project, AEI
March 4, 2022
ISW published its most recent Russian campaign assessment at 3:00 pm EST on March 4.
This daily synthetic product covers key events related to renewed Russian aggression against Ukraine.
Key Takeaways March 4
Russian forces have advanced rapidly on the eastern outskirts of Kyiv, likely from the Sumy axis, and may attempt to encircle and/or attack the capital on the east bank of the Dnipro in the coming 24-48 hours.
Russian troops did not press a ground offensive against Kharkiv in the last 24 hours but have instead diverted forces to the west and southeast, likely supporting efforts against Kyiv and in and around Donbas respectively.
Russian troops have surrounded Mariupol and are attacking it brutally to destroy it or compel its capitulation.
Russian forces have renewed their ground advance on Mykolayiv, having secured Kherson city, likely to set conditions for a further attack toward Odesa. Russian naval infantry are likely poised to conduct amphibious landings near Odesa when Russian forces have secured or are close to securing a reliable ground route from Crimea to Odesa.
Much more at link:
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-update-15