So, what countries could Vladolph Putler invade next?

[boston bean]

You know the ones near by who aren’t full NATO partners. Where NATO can say sorry this is your war. We will provide weapons, sanctions and intelligence. No no fly zones and no troops.

As far as I understand, these countries could be at risk. Is this wrong?

Finland
Sweden
Moldova
Switzerland


Although they may have treaties with other countries where they would be required to provide military defense aid (ie european union).

ETA Then I guess if eu engages and putrid strikes on a eu/nato member, nato gets involved.

Would a potential strategy of putrid be to never strike a nato country? Therefore attempting to make NATO seem a paper tiger.

This is why you keep hearing Sec Blinken using full blown war in Europe v ww3.

[Pachamama]

1. All countries are at risk

But I think he will go for the low hanging fruit first - Moldova

But I don’t think he will care anymore NATO or not….

[Wingus Dingus]

2. He really won't. His military stinks on ice.

Edit to add: not soon, anyway.

[boston bean]

3. His missiles don't suck.

[Wingus Dingus]

4. That's only one component of an invasion/occupation.

[boston bean]

5. Yep. But it is one hell of a component. Just ask Ukraine who has been begging for a no fly zone.

[Wingus Dingus]

8. They don't have the means to hold ground yet, though.

Certainly not all over the country of Ukraine.

[boston bean]

9. But they could be bombed to bits.

[Wingus Dingus]

11. But they won't be able subdue the country just from bombing.

We've learned that over and over in US wars. Putin, if this continues, will have his military pretty well used up trying to occupy Ukraine. I don't see him trying to open up another front anytime soon.

[boston bean]

13. But they will be able to kill a hell of a lot of people & disrupt economies. Cause great suffering.

[Wingus Dingus]

15. Yes, but at great expense to themselves in a number of ways.

If the world hangs together and Ukraine keeps fighting, Russia's costs can only go up, hopefully to unbearable levels.

[boston bean]

19. Are the bodies undead at that moment?

[Wingus Dingus]

21. I'm not sure what you mean.

[boston bean]

22. You may some day.

[uponit7771]

30. True, there's a western answer to for those that HAS NOT been deployed in UKR in force ... YET

... and when it does come count this shit over.

It's anti artillery counter measures that sense firing of artillery and fires back at it

[tenderfoot]

6. Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Estonia, Lithuania, Turkmanistan, Uzbekistan, Latvia, etc.

The former Soviet republics.

[AngryOldDem]

7. Moldova sounds like a sitting duck.

Hasn’t it applied for EU membership, or NATO membership? Frankly, I see the whole eastern front at risk. Putin is beyond mad and can justify any incursion anywhere. He is spoiling for a fight with NATO.

I know we’re under constraints here. But this feels like we’re just sitting by and watching a country die.

[JustAnotherGen]

10. Finland or Moldova

[BlueJac]

12. Moldova

[hamsterjill]

14. I don't know what his immediate next target will be.

But his ultimate goal is the US. We need to understand that, and we need to also understand that because of Trump, Putin is closer to that goal than ever before. I’m not saying we need to panic. I’m just stating the reality.

[MineralMan]

16. Invade with what forces?

Russia is tapped out, pretty much.

[boston bean]

17. With missiles.

[MineralMan]

18. SMH...

[boston bean]

20. Shake it all you want.

[MineralMan]

23. Thanks. I will.

[boston bean]

24. Excellent.

[Mariana]

29. That's wouldn't be an invasion, by definition. nt.

[sarisataka]

25. Probably none of those

Except maybe Moldova.

Russia doesn't want to fuck with Finland again, Sweden is almost as bad and can only be reached amphibiously. Switzerland is surrounded by a whole lot of NATO airspace for paratroopers to pass through. Norway is a NATO member.

The central Asian countries that used to be Soviet republics would be most at risk. It is likely however Russia will spend 2-3 years fixing flaws found in their current military structure.

[boston bean]

26. Correct Norway is a member.

[Fiendish Thingy]

27. If Putin isn't stopped in Ukraine, he can invade wherever he wants. Nt

[Gore1FL]

28. He really doesn't have an army to invade with.

He may like the menu a lot, but he can't afford to eat anything on it.