The situation in the Dombas

[Tomconroy]

I think Dr. Martin makes as much sense of any of the armchair military analysts, so I'm putting up this medium thread, courtesy of John Sweeney:

Link to tweet

[empedocles]

1. TY much

[Paper Roses]

2. A long read but worth it. Thank You. n/t

[kentuck]

3. It is my understanding that most of the Ukrainian Army is in the Donbas region?

Has anyone else read or heard that?

Also, that they are mostly surrounded by Russian troops?

And that they are desperately attempting to get weapons to them?

[Tomconroy]

4. Maybe not.

[Arazi]

5. That's the steel plant in Mariupol

They’ve been encircled for a month now at least

[Tomconroy]

7. The situation sounds really bad there but the Azov are

waging battles in areas outside the steel plant.
Hope for the best. Wish US troops would land, but that's just me.

[uponit7771]

8. No, just most of them who have weapons and battle organizations are there. More NATO weapons

... are coming for those who are being trained in the east.

Still don't think there will be a pitch battle or even large encirclements, Russia doesn't have the troops ... yet.

[Arazi]

6. He predicts the war in the south will last weeks, not months

And Ukraine might then plausibly go after Crimea

🧐