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Shrek

(4,434 posts)
Tue May 3, 2022, 06:28 AM May 2022

Roberts can still throw a wrench

If he joins the majority, he decides who writes the opinion (could even be himself).

This burn-it-all-down opinion from Alito could be completely scrapped.

36 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Roberts can still throw a wrench (Original Post) Shrek May 2022 OP
To me the only thing interesting about this is it the draft opinion got leaked Walleye May 2022 #1
Yes that's truly unprecedented underpants May 2022 #2
I know and the freaking language! LeftInTX May 2022 #30
Don't count on it JohnSJ May 2022 #3
The majority opinion won't exactly be scrapped. bucolic_frolic May 2022 #4
It will still be MOMFUDSKI May 2022 #5
+1. No matter how they reword it or who writes it, Roe is dead. dalton99a May 2022 #9
incorrect, upholding the Mississippi law would be the only absolute Amishman May 2022 #14
The draft was "leaked" for a purpose! Callalily May 2022 #6
He has already assigned the task... 2naSalit May 2022 #7
You're assuming he's in the majority? sl8 May 2022 #8
Last night I watched... 2naSalit May 2022 #11
I was referring to your "he has already assigned the task". sl8 May 2022 #13
I was... 2naSalit May 2022 #15
I'm not making my point very well. sl8 May 2022 #19
Okay... 2naSalit May 2022 #21
Seniority: sl8 May 2022 #22
Thomas... 2naSalit May 2022 #23
This message was self-deleted by its author sl8 May 2022 #28
Could be. One more point ... sl8 May 2022 #34
Indeed. 2naSalit May 2022 #36
This message was self-deleted by its author sl8 May 2022 #12
Whistling past the graveyard . . . hatrack May 2022 #10
+1 2naSalit May 2022 #16
Not quite accurate FBaggins May 2022 #17
If Alito has written the first draft it means Roberts already has assigned the opinion to him onenote May 2022 #18
Only if it's 6-3 FBaggins May 2022 #24
If its 6-3 to uphold the Mississippi law, then Roberts is in the majority onenote May 2022 #25
Roberts would not be in the majority if there are 5 votes to overturn Roe, and he is not one of them tritsofme May 2022 #20
He would be in the majority if he supports upholding the Mississippi law onenote May 2022 #26
Roberts needs at least four more votes for his opinion to be more than a concurrence/partial dissent tritsofme May 2022 #27
The holding of the case will be that the Mississippi law is upheld. onenote May 2022 #29
If Alito's opinion is supported by five justices, it will become precedent, regardless of what tritsofme May 2022 #31
That much is true. But if Roberts supports the outcome, but not the reasoning, onenote May 2022 #32
this is correct, thank you for bringing facts to the table Celerity May 2022 #35
But still Roe is over? How does that make it better? Demsrule86 May 2022 #33

underpants

(196,843 posts)
2. Yes that's truly unprecedented
Tue May 3, 2022, 06:41 AM
May 2022

The head legal reporter at Politico Josh Gerstein was just on Morning Joe explaining the leak. He wrapped himself on journalism back checking and sourcing. He really didn’t cover the breaking of precedent and posting this.

LeftInTX

(34,557 posts)
30. I know and the freaking language!
Tue May 3, 2022, 09:25 AM
May 2022

Sounds like Alito and Thomas got together and put their anger on pen!

It's over the top and scary as hell

They could just say, "Well the constitution doesn't say anything about abortion, so Mississippi can have their way" Instead Alito is insulting the entire world!

Amishman

(5,929 posts)
14. incorrect, upholding the Mississippi law would be the only absolute
Tue May 3, 2022, 08:42 AM
May 2022

Roberts playing this suggested card so he can write the decision means he could make the wording/scope of the decision so narrow that it cannot be applied outside of Mississippi, essentially punting on the broader topic.

2naSalit

(103,353 posts)
7. He has already assigned the task...
Tue May 3, 2022, 07:41 AM
May 2022

To Alito and this draft shows that it's basically a done deal except for fine tuning. They may hold yet another vote, this may be the first salvo in a set of offerings back and forth, we don't know for sure. If this is a trial balloon to see how bad it could be, we should show them, quite clearly, how much we disagree.

2naSalit

(103,353 posts)
11. Last night I watched...
Tue May 3, 2022, 08:30 AM
May 2022

TRMS (I think) w/Dalia Lithwick and what I got from her was that sequence and that it appears it's pretty much done and Alito, having written the draft opinion, was the draft of the official opinion. As I said, she stated there could be another vote since this could be offered with the expectation of a dissenting statement and possible debate but she anticipates that the majority will hold in favor of this travesty.

sl8

(17,120 posts)
13. I was referring to your "he has already assigned the task".
Tue May 3, 2022, 08:36 AM
May 2022

By "he", I thought you were referring to CJ Roberts. He only would assign the decision if he were in the majority.

If you weren't referring to Roberts, then, nevermind.

2naSalit

(103,353 posts)
15. I was...
Tue May 3, 2022, 08:44 AM
May 2022

But it doesn't matter how he decides on the matter since it would only make it 5:4 rather than 6:3. So if the others are for overturning Roe then it's over. According to those whom I heard last night, I watched several groups weigh in, Roberts had already given the task of writing the majority opinion to Alito as this draft would indicate should it be legit.

That's what I got from all those legal talking heads, along with other points. And that's what I was saying. Roberts can go with the minority but it is still a minority. I think the conversation I'm referring to is posted on DU.

sl8

(17,120 posts)
19. I'm not making my point very well.
Tue May 3, 2022, 08:52 AM
May 2022

CJ Roberts could not assign the opinion to anyone, unless he's in the majority.

It's the senior justice in the majority that assigns the opinion. That's the the CJ, only if he's in the majority.

Personally, I doubt he's in the majority. Not completely, anyway. But, that's just my opinion, and you know what that's worth.

2naSalit

(103,353 posts)
21. Okay...
Tue May 3, 2022, 09:00 AM
May 2022

Well then, I guess Alito is is the next in line as far as deciding who writes it?

Regardless, this is something that cannot be allowed to stand by we the people. This will be a major defining issue.

sl8

(17,120 posts)
22. Seniority:
Tue May 3, 2022, 09:04 AM
May 2022

Chief Justice

Clarence Thomas
Stephen Breyer
Samuel Alito
Sonia Sotomayor
Elena Kagan
Neil Gorsuch
Brett Kavanaugh
Amy Coney Barrett

Response to 2naSalit (Reply #23)

sl8

(17,120 posts)
34. Could be. One more point ...
Tue May 3, 2022, 10:03 AM
May 2022

Roberts could disagree with the other conservatives about all sorts of Roe/Casey issues, but if he is in favor of upholding the Mississippi law, then he's in the majority and gets to assign the opinion.

onenote's post explains it better:
https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=16651563

Response to 2naSalit (Reply #7)

hatrack

(64,993 posts)
10. Whistling past the graveyard . . .
Tue May 3, 2022, 08:25 AM
May 2022

They want to destroy it all, and they want to start destroying it now.

Dixie/Gilead beckons.

FBaggins

(28,706 posts)
17. Not quite accurate
Tue May 3, 2022, 08:47 AM
May 2022

Yes - if he's in the majority then he assigns the writing of the opinion. But any justice can write a concurring/dissenting opinion and any justice can join with one or more opinions.

If he writes one that gets six votes, but Alito's remains and gets five votes... it's just as precedent-setting as if it were the primary opinion.

onenote

(46,188 posts)
18. If Alito has written the first draft it means Roberts already has assigned the opinion to him
Tue May 3, 2022, 08:47 AM
May 2022

FBaggins

(28,706 posts)
24. Only if it's 6-3
Tue May 3, 2022, 09:08 AM
May 2022

Or, more precisely, if Roberts is with the majority.

If it's the expected 5-4, then Thomas assigned it to Alito and Roberts is with the minority (or otherwise dissenting in part)

onenote

(46,188 posts)
25. If its 6-3 to uphold the Mississippi law, then Roberts is in the majority
Tue May 3, 2022, 09:09 AM
May 2022

Even if he ends up writing a separate, concurring decision in which he argues that the law could be upheld without overturning Roe.


tritsofme

(19,922 posts)
20. Roberts would not be in the majority if there are 5 votes to overturn Roe, and he is not one of them
Tue May 3, 2022, 08:55 AM
May 2022

onenote

(46,188 posts)
26. He would be in the majority if he supports upholding the Mississippi law
Tue May 3, 2022, 09:10 AM
May 2022

Even if he supports that result on narrower grounds.


tritsofme

(19,922 posts)
27. Roberts needs at least four more votes for his opinion to be more than a concurrence/partial dissent
Tue May 3, 2022, 09:15 AM
May 2022

From whatever the Alito’s five signed onto.

onenote

(46,188 posts)
29. The holding of the case will be that the Mississippi law is upheld.
Tue May 3, 2022, 09:20 AM
May 2022

Six members of the court are all but certain to support that result. That allows Roberts, as CJ, to assign the opinion, even if he doesn't agree with the reasoning of the five other justices.

An example: In 2019, the Court struck down a Louisiana abortion law in June Medical Services v. Russo. It was a 5-4 decision. The opinion of the Court was written by Breyer and signed onto by three other justices. The fifth vote was provided by Roberts, who didn't sign onto the Breyer opinion but supported the result in a separate concurring opinion. Roberts would have been the one to assign the opinion since he was in the "majority" with respect to the outcome of the case, even though he didn't support the reasoning of the other four members of the majority.

tritsofme

(19,922 posts)
31. If Alito's opinion is supported by five justices, it will become precedent, regardless of what
Tue May 3, 2022, 09:26 AM
May 2022

Roberts holds. He cannot thwart the will of the Court’s majority as OP suggests.

onenote

(46,188 posts)
32. That much is true. But if Roberts supports the outcome, but not the reasoning,
Tue May 3, 2022, 09:30 AM
May 2022

he's part of the majority and would assign the opinion.

I posted an example: June Medical Services v. Russo, a 2019 case that struck down a Louisiana abortion law in a 5-4 vote. Roberts provided the fifth vote, but didn't sign onto the "opinion of the court" which was signed onto by only four justices. Roberts' vote was provided in a concurring opinion. Because he was part of the "majority" with respect to the outcome, he would've been the one to assign the opinion.

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