Here's the current issue with the OH-SEN race...

[brooklynite]

Democrat Tim Ryan has 243,000 votes. The Democratic aggregate is 346,000

Republican JD Vance has 243,000 votes. The Republican aggregate is 741,951

This is going to be a challenge to win.

[Sneederbunk]

1. Sherrod Brown proves it can be done.

[JohnSJ]

7. Thank-you. I get tired of defeatist proclamations before the race is even run. There are a lot o

variables involved, including the effect of the SC, and what will the Dolan voters do?

[brooklynite]

14. I'm not defeatist; I'm realistic.

Starting with actual data is always recommended.

[hlthe2b]

18. Ditto

[Beautiful Disaster]

2. You're comparing a hotly contested primary between multiple candidates on the Republican side...

...to a primary on the Democratic side that was largely determined long before voting began. I would expect there to be a higher turnout for Republicans.

it absolutely is going to be a challenge to win - but these numbers don't mean anything. Tim Ryan was basically running unopposed.

[bucolic_frolic]

3. Our side was a one horse race, the other had multiple candidates.

But I get it. That is a big number.

[BradAllison]

5. It certainly helped that MSNBC.....

....could only talk about it all day Sunday and Monday.....


You'd think there was no general election.

[onenote]

12. In 2018, Sherrod was unopposed and got over 600,000 votes in the primary.

What explains the drop off in 2022?

[LisaL]

13. The numbers in the OP are not final.

Also, weather was bad pretty much all day today.

[onenote]

17. Thanks

[BradAllison]

4. I've donated money to Tim already

Not as much as you could though, I'm sure.

[brooklynite]

16. I've given money to Tim as well...

...Doesn't mean I don't pay attention to the challenges ahead.

In order of winnability, I'd rank
1. Pennsylvania
2. Wisconsin
3. North Carolina
4. Ohio
5. Florida
6. Iowa

[drray23]

6. Do we know the percentage of gop primary voters

versus those of democratic voters ? It maybe that since their primary was hotly contested a lot of Republicans went to vote compared to the democratic side where Ryan was a shoe in.

[Make7]

8. Maybe waiting for the final counts to compare would make sense.

The NY Times says the vote totals aren't finished for Cleveland, Columbus, or Cincinnati.

[Demsrule86]

9. But do consider that Tim Ryan's race was not close and turnout was lower because of this.

No doubt this is a tough Race...hoping Roe helps.

[Demsrule86]

10. Also, there is bad feelings between supporters of the various candidates and Tim can garner

GOP votes so...we might get some. We have to show up for sure. But Tim is the only one who can do this.

[andym]

11. Far more voters than in today's aggregates in the primary will vote in the Fall election.

Portman was elected in 2010 midterm elections-- Here are the numbers:

Republican Rob Portman 2,168,742
Democratic Lee Fisher 1,503,297

He received almost 3x today's GOP aggregate.
The Fisher received more than 4x the Democratic aggregate today.

[Cracklin Charlie]

15. Tim Ryan is a good democrat.

I get a Joe Biden vibe from him. I always want to hear more of what he says.