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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCNN poll: The Supreme Court's draft opinion on Roe v. Wade hasn't shaken the midterm landscape
Sixty-six percent say Roe v. Wade should not be completely struck down, and 59% would support Congress passing legislation to establish a nationwide right to abortion, including 81% of Democrats, 65% of independents and 30% of Republicans, the survey finds.
But comparing the results of the new poll to one conducted immediately before the revelation of the draft opinion, the impact on the political landscape heading into the 2022 midterms appears fairly muted.
The share of registered voters who say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting this fall rose 6 points between the first survey and the second, but that increase is about even across party lines. Among Democrats, 43% now say they are extremely or very enthusiastic, up 7 points. Among Republicans, it's 56%, up 9 points. And voters who say overturning Roe would make them "happy" are nearly twice as enthusiastic about voting this fall as those who say such a ruling would leave them "angry" (38% extremely enthusiastic among those happy, 20% among those angry).
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Republicans up 49% to 42% in their generic vote. An outlier for sure, but still troubling...
budkin
(6,699 posts)Once people actually lose the right there will be a huge momentum shift.
Horseshit poll. Whatll the trigger laws take effect.
Polybius
(15,385 posts)Perhaps they will turn them Blue.
Silent3
(15,204 posts)The poll is about how things are now. You're saying "Once people actually lose the right...". That hasn't happened yet.
Many polls are indeed flawed, but I hate this oh-so-common knee-jerk reaction on DU that any poll that doesn't sound like what we want to believe is bullshit.
If we start discrediting everything we dislike because we dislike it, we're stooping to their intellectual level.
Bullshit!
NotTodayPutin
(86 posts)Our new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, however, shows that such hopes are likely unfounded. Republicans look like they remain in the driver's seat for November because voters don't trust Democrats on the all-important issue of the economy
The May 3-5 CNN survey, conducted after the draft opinion became public, shows Republicans with a 49% to 42% advantage on the generic congressional ballot. If that 7-point lead held through the election, it would be as large a win for the GOP in the national House vote as it was in 2010 -- when Republicans regained the House majority and ended up with 242 seats out of 435.
More to the point, it's the widest edge for Republicans on the generic ballot in a CNN poll this entire cycle. Just before the draft opinion leaked, an April 28-May 1 CNN poll gave Republicans 45% and Democrats 44% on the generic ballot question. A CNN survey conducted from January to February put Republicans at 44% and Democrats at 43%.
It would be a mistake, at this point, to interpret these results as Republicans benefiting from a potential Supreme Court overturning of Roe v. Wade. Polls shift all the time for many reasons, and my guess is this is just statistical noise.
2 things caught my eye.
1. Voters in this poll seemed more concerned about the economy
2. This analyst says way to soon really Guage the impact
The pukes don't know what to do? They fucked up with this one. The Blue Tsunami is building.
Bullshit!
Tommymac
(7,263 posts)CNN and the corporate media is NOT on our side.
The Cold Civil War in the USA may be entering a new stage. The RW and it's corporate enablers need to justify the SC's murderous decision - hence these dubious polls.
It's Corporate payback for the Citizen's United decision.
And the bill will be paid with the blood of women all across this land.
The Cold Civil War that has been slowly burning in this country since the 1960's has just reached a new level.
We Democrats have to continue the Good Fight. We have no choice. (Ironic, huh.)
Maeve
(42,279 posts)But hey, if you live and die by the 24 hour news-cycle...
BS poll gets BS results. Anyone surprised?
RussBLib
(9,006 posts)it's like a giant trial balloon, which got shot full of holes. Surely the SCOTUS would not participate in "owning the libs"... ?
to ban abortion in all cases, even regardless of the health of the mother, is brainlessly cruel and barbaric. Surely a few Republicans still can think?
Emile
(22,669 posts)that has people Pissed off.
OrlandoDem2
(2,065 posts)Change much.
CrispyQ
(36,457 posts)We'll be lucky to keep both chambers. GOTV has always been our strength, but with all the suppression laws & underhanded shenanigans the GOP is doing, even that might not be enough.
JustAnotherGen
(31,810 posts)3 Radical Republicans in a local woman's group are whining about Roe. Distinctly remember one in particular hoo raying about rapey Brett.
Now she's mad? Really?
She will turn right around and vote for Malinowski's opponent. They aren't connecting the dots.
SharonClark
(10,014 posts)in pro-choice opinion in Texas? Polls showing the majority supports Roe vs Wade are meaningless if the public votes for anti-choice candidates based on other, more important, issues for them.
In Iowa, the GQP legislature and governor are passing laws that the public has polled to be against but they continue to get away with it because they paint the Dems as others.
Lovie777
(12,232 posts)and it was not favorable to the GQP.
Personally, the blood bath will be red.
Claire Oh Nette
(2,636 posts)CNN and the other media companies do a disservice by not calling this to viewers' attention.
Media is culpable because they're the ones broadcasting/streaming Inflation! Gas Prices! Supply Chain! or Biden's Economic gains, or infrastructure bill. They're not covering higher wages except as a negative, They're not covering Ginni Thomas' insurrectionist activities, The Justices perjury, or Abbott's multi billion dollar stunt at the border.
We still hear every word out of the loser's mouth, and from his supporters. Everyone loves a freak show, but that's not news.
barbaraann
(9,151 posts)I wonder if some of it is just laziness instead of actual bias.
yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)Unfortunately Americans always seem to think the status quo is going to prevail - until it doesn't.
Takket
(21,560 posts)already? It is barely out in the public yet.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)WarGamer
(12,436 posts)Polybius
(15,385 posts)And with gerrymandering and voting right disrupted, Republicans already have a 2 or 3 point advantage right off the bat. So if they are tied, they win by 2 or 3. Maybe more.
bronxiteforever
(9,287 posts)This will be the first poll of decades of polls about abortion. It wont be the Supremes that are an issue, it will be whether to assign DOJ to cases to investigate and the morning after pill.
Welcome to 24 hours a day 25 years of worth abortion specific federal arguments. The GOP will have its culture wars for the next 25 years. It will drown out everything else because it involves average life issues. The GOP will be forced to respond to their anti abortion base like McConnell did with the nationwide ban statement.
I dont know how it will turn out out but this decision and the weaponized destruction of civil rights will be endless so Polybius get ready for every poll to be cited about these issues until mid century.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)sarisataka
(18,600 posts)Find a poll that says support for Democrats has increased in the last week it will be celebrated and unquestionably accurate.
Point out a poll that isn't so rosey...
mcar
(42,302 posts)uponit7771
(90,335 posts)FreepFryer
(7,077 posts)gulliver
(13,180 posts)A whole lot of people who speak from our side and from the media just simply don't understand how a player wins a poker hand even when they have a royal flush showing.
We need to focus on the abortion rights issue if we want to win it. Not tie it to every other item on our shopping list. Not protest. Not do vigils outside Kavanaugh's house. Focus. Smother the Republican wokeness argument and the CRT argument in offense. Blame inflation on Republicans screwing up the supply lines with their trade war...
Too many of the people we have out there showing outrage are exactly the people that a lot of would-be pro-choice Republicans want to see outraged. They'll vote for Trump over democracy to see our side's emoters emote. They'll vote anti-choice if it spites the people they want to spite, even if they're pro-choice.
We need the common-sense, reasonable people from the center right to like us and trust us enough to cooperate on issues on which we agree. Right now, they're just writing us off way too often. We on the left are getting a bad rap. We need to make that case.
BlueIdaho
(13,582 posts)Im convinced the leak was timed to move peoples reaction as far away from the midterms as possible. We suffer from outrage overload. The hope is people will get over it so the right can proceed to strip more rights away from more Americans.
Its up to us to push back hard and keep stoking the fire. This is not normal, this is not American. This is the end of our democracy.
Mr.Bill
(24,282 posts)And that is usually good for us.
If the taking away of the personal right to choose doesnt motivate a large variety of voters, there is something wrong.
Mr.Bill
(24,282 posts)but our side is bigger.