General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsI know when gas prices will drop
They'll start dropping days after the repub majorities are sworn in. We live in a world where billionaires can control our prices on food, goods, and gas. And they control the media to create the "Democrats are bad for business" message.
You'll hear nothing but a chorus of phrases from the media saying "see, the republicans are now majority and gas prices are dropping".
Beachnutt
(7,309 posts)the big hedge funds such as citadel are totally in bed with the rethugs and manipulate the market
Response to newdayneeded (Original post)
Chin music This message was self-deleted by its author.
Initech
(100,054 posts)rubbersole
(6,684 posts)Owned by billionaires. They are the ones that will have to pay for Biden's agenda. They will stop at nothing before they will pay a dime. Taking money out of politics will be harder than getting assault weapons out of the hands of civilians. Our kids are screwed.
Dustlawyer
(10,494 posts)their ad money to force the media to air stories they want, kill those they dont, and slant the rest.
FoxNewsSucks
(10,428 posts)Ad money influences coverage, but it's often what the media ownership wants anyway. Especially regarding financial and taxation issues
walkingman
(7,591 posts)TheRealNorth
(9,474 posts)As wealth gets more and more concentrated.
RainCaster
(10,854 posts)They passed a windfall profits tax against the petro-bastards that are making such a world class profit.
Beachnutt
(7,309 posts)manchinema..
Fla_Democrat
(2,547 posts)I don't see it. Way I understand it, Russia is on the ropes, Their generals are dropping like flies, and Putin has one foot in the grave, and the other on a banana peel. I'm sure the Putin Price Hike will be a very temporary thing.
former9thward
(31,963 posts)Even Zelensky admits Russia controls 20% of Ukrainian territory. This war will not end soon.
Fla_Democrat
(2,547 posts)I'm just going off what I read here. Every post concerning Ukraine is a glowing report of how well things are going there for us, I mean for the people of Ukraine, and how hopeless is seems for Putin.
former9thward
(31,963 posts)Reports I read in the MSM are often quite different.
Bengus81
(6,931 posts)Fla_Democrat
(2,547 posts)The Ghost of Kiev.
iemanja
(53,026 posts)EX500rider
(10,833 posts)The price of oil is not set by the producers, the price of oil is actually set in the oil futures market. I assume they see more shortages due to the war by Russia and their oil being boycotted.
ProfessorGAC
(64,960 posts)In addition, the price of refined fuel is set by the traders/speculators, not by the producers (refiners).
Right now, I will admit I believe there is massive price manipulation going on by the traders.
They are, without economic cause, propping up futures to max out profits before they ultimately take a beating on their last 30 or 90 day contracts.
Given that the embargo on Russian oil is FAR from complete, and that all other producers are operating at 80% capacity or lower, there is no crimp on supply.
Plus, historically the wholesale price for each gallon of refined fuel has been a bit over 2.8% the cost of the crude per barrel.
It's now over 3.4% and has been over 3% for several weeks. There's no economic fundamentals to justify that either.
People go nuts over the huge extra profits the refiners are making, but they're just lucky beneficiaries of an out of control market. Anger should be directed at the people who appear to be price fixing to save their own butts from overestimating the impact of Russia's invasion.
I'd also start having regulators snooping around the commodity markets, as I'm not convinced this sustained overpricing occurs without collusion.
dpibel
(2,830 posts)If I read correctly the post to which you are responding, the person is working a plausibly deniable argument that, doods, it is totally true market forces.
That, after all, is what this says, isn't it:
"I assume they see more shortages due to the war by Russia and their oil being boycotted."
You, OTOH, are agreeing that the common beliefs about the locus of the manipulation are wrong, but current gas prices are, by golly, the result of manipulation.
ProfessorGAC
(64,960 posts)I'm saying manipulation seems likely & requires scrutiny.
I can prove nothing at this point, but the math & history raise suspicions.
I read the other post as blaming the markets, not the producers. I concur completely.
If(!) there is collusion to manipulate, grilling Exxon & Shell is not going to yield much.
Don't blame the president. Don't blame the refiners.
Figure out what happened that allowed the markets to throw everything into chaos.
newdayneeded
(1,955 posts)even said as much. He was saying oil barrel price at the same time last year brought $3 per gallon prices, now it's over $4 per gallon.
allegorical oracle
(2,357 posts)ProfessorGAC
(64,960 posts)Went down 20¢, then up 40. In 10 days.
Brent crude is selling at barely under $120/bbl.
The RBOB price of unleaded is $4.25 per gallon. That's over 3.5%. 25% above the historical ratio.
And, I don't believe the refining shortfall rhetoric.
Refineries set their accounting to track unit operations by 92% uptime & 85% of nameplate.
That means "capacity" is 78.8% of what is possible.
Even if shutdown/turnarounds cannot be deferred, there is a built in 18% of excess capacity in the system
That's why when the big freeze hit Texas & gas prices shot up, there was no actual shortfall of supply. The other refineries just turned up 1.5-2.0%.
The only substantial shortfall we've seen in recent memory was when that pipeline in the southeast was shutdown.
But, I saw ZERO gas stations here out of gas.
uponit7771
(90,329 posts)... the margin even if the market gives it.
EX500rider
(10,833 posts)They avg. 12% profit margin, which is not a huge return on investment IMO. Many of them lost billions the year before so I assume they are trying to recoup some of that.
Oil refining is a capital-intensive business. Planning, designing, permitting and building a new medium-sized refinery is a 5-7 year process with costs ranging from $7-10 billion, not including land acquisition.
And even cutting their margin in 1/2 would not "keep gas prices low". They would be $.20+- lower.
uponit7771
(90,329 posts)haele
(12,645 posts)Besides, the price of oil per barrel list not the highest it's been, despite sanctions and oil producers continuing to keep production at near COVID levels just because they can.
Yes, billionaires can affect the price of both oil and gas.
They don't live in isolation, they all pretty much know each other, hang out with each other at private locations provided by financial facilitators like the late Jeffery Epstein.
What's wrong with a little chat about reducing oil or gas production to drive up prices, tweek with regulations, and increase profits between friends and peers after all?
Haele
dweller
(23,620 posts)They drop the day after the repugs pass the next tax cuts for the wealthy
They got priorities ya know
✌🏻
jimfields33
(15,758 posts)Escurumbele
(3,383 posts)this administration can take on.
The problem I see with your argument is that seems to assume the Biden administration has its hands tied up, and I cannot think that is the case, there must be ways of controlling the corporations without resistance from republicans. As a minimum start a negative campaign, from the administration against the corporations and the republican lawmakers, make it clear to the world who is doing it, let the people know what is going on and even suggest actions the ordinary citizen can take on.
We the people have the power if we all agree to use it, to give up certain pleasures, even driving, to make sure we use the weight of our power to make these corporations and politicians do what we want, and not us become complacent and do what they want.
An example, get out of Facebook and tell them why you are leaving. Stop buying gas at a certain brand. Yes it has to be a concerted effort but even small numbers will have an impact on their bottom line.
broiles
(1,367 posts)Response to newdayneeded (Original post)
broiles This message was self-deleted by its author.
Rebl2
(13,483 posts)would rather we live in a dictatorship or oligarchy. Oil companies purposely gouging us which is driving the price of everything else up. I am sure other companies taking advantage too.
RussBLib
(9,006 posts)newdayneeded
(1,955 posts)but major frustration. Knowing a few individuals compared to the whole US population can literally change message and politics with their money. Then of course coupling that with a paid for echo chamber propaganda machine on 1000s of radio station.
allegorical oracle
(2,357 posts)cause gas prices to rise is to shut down refineries. The big oils are making historic record profits, which they believe they deserve because they suffered revenue declines during the pandemic.
Emile
(22,622 posts)Predatory Capitalists did this shit before and gave Carter one term.
pwb
(11,258 posts)we all stay put more. Drive less, slow down, fight back.
Vinca
(50,250 posts)is making sure not an extra drop of oil comes to market.