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ancianita

(36,216 posts)
Mon Jun 20, 2022, 05:20 PM Jun 2022

Good News Poll On Whether Trump Should be Charged -- A snapshot, true, but OUR snapshot.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/10-americans-trump-charged-jan-riot-poll/story?id=85482369

https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-polls/americans-think-jan-6-committee-fair-are-not-following-it

nationwide...

-- 58% of Americans think Trump should be charged with a crime for his role in the riot,
up by 6% since late April; up from 54% in January;

-- 58% of Americans think Trump bears a "great deal" or a "good amount" of responsibility for the attack on the Capitol; unchanged from the same poll in December 2021; unchanged from the poll taken after the attack in January 2021.

Re party lines...

-- 91% of Democrats thinking Trump should be charged with a crime compare to 19% of Republicans

-- 62% of Independents think Trump should be charged; 61% of Independents think he bears a "great deal" or a "good amount" of responsibility.

Re the hearings...

-- 60% of Americans think the committee is conducting a fair and impartial investigation while 38% say it is not; up from a 40% even split since late April, and 20% with "no opinion" in late April

-- 34% of Americans are following the hearings very or somewhat closely

-- 43% of Democrats and 22% of Republicans are following the hearings very or somewhat closely

hearings impact at the polls in 2022:

-- 51% of Americans say that what they've read, seen or heard about the hearings has made no difference in who they plan to support

-- 29% of Americans say they are more likely to support Democratic candidates

-- 19% of Americans say they are more likely to support Republican candidates.

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Good News Poll On Whether Trump Should be Charged -- A snapshot, true, but OUR snapshot. (Original Post) ancianita Jun 2022 OP
Looks like the tide is turning PJMcK Jun 2022 #1
Yes. Proving the maxim that documented truth is compelling for those who want truth & not stories. ancianita Jun 2022 #2
22% of Republicans following J6C is *HUGE* people, that's not a small number relative to voting uponit7771 Jun 2022 #3
Looks that way. It's just that sample numbers need to be high level representative ancianita Jun 2022 #4

uponit7771

(90,371 posts)
3. 22% of Republicans following J6C is *HUGE* people, that's not a small number relative to voting
Mon Jun 20, 2022, 07:13 PM
Jun 2022

... if we can shave off just 1/3 of that into not vote for MAGA.

ancianita

(36,216 posts)
4. Looks that way. It's just that sample numbers need to be high level representative
Mon Jun 20, 2022, 07:28 PM
Jun 2022

to be valid and reliable. Which is hard to do in such a huge country with different political regions.
Even a 1% national sampling is at least 33,500. Few polls -- only Gallup, I believe -- have those size samples.
If we're confident on the IPSOS sampling of 545, then 22% of that is indeed huge.

Even if the sampling numbers go up, and poll percentages change, these snapshots consistently trend up, and so we can definitely feel better that minds are changing.

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