Early days but this could be in the Gulf of Mexico

[malaise]

for the July 4th weekend. It moved from 20 to 40% in a few hours.

FROM NOAA
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic continues
to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This activity has
become a bit more concentrated this evening, and environmental
conditions appear conducive for additional development over the next
few days. A tropical depression could form by early next week as
this system moves westward at around 15 mph over the tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

[babylonsister]

1. Tis the season and I bet

all this intense heat isn't helping.
Thanks, I'll be watching.

[A HERETIC I AM]

2. "And now, lets turn to the control room and the desk of Malaise, who has her finger on all of this..

Malaise?

[malaise]

3. I wish

Those damned storms reach us first and we start watching anything south of Barbados. It's to early to stress out - could turn, could weaken, etc - keep an eye and get the trees trimmed. Make sure you refilled the supplies from last year.

[A HERETIC I AM]

5. Stay safe.

[malaise]

9. Thanks

[Deuxcents]

6. Gulf water temps 88* here

In SW Florida. Water temps getting hotter earlier every year. Not a good thing.

[2naSalit]

7. I was looking at that this morning...

And wondering if it would end up there.

[malaise]

8. Tt could turn or self destruct

But we need to be ready just in case

[malaise]

11. More here

[2naSalit]

17. That's why I check the weather first...

Before anything else every day. I don't have the psyche to live on an island, I have developed a thing about deep water these days, but I do live in a mountainous area where weather rules the day every day. I like that part, I would rather have mother nature determine my daily activities.

When things might get nasty, it's good to know it's coming.

[malaise]

18. I was the hurricane point person at work since Gilbert

because myself and a now deceased close friends were the only folks who prepared for that one.😀

[2naSalit]

20. I have been fascinated by...

The weather since I was a kid, I think it was because there were a couple hurricanes that hit New England during that time. It was something I recognized during the first one because we had to all gather in the big kitchen in the farmhouse we lived in, hurricane lamps and other preparations were made and we all survived.

My dad was in the Navy so we also heard tales of being on aircraft carriers, etc., in a typhoon or trying to avoid one and he was often gone, when our area wasn't threatened, for other hurricanes because aircraft were often in need of relocation, he was a fly guy, and all hands were called upon for such movements.

Then, when I was a road runner, I had to know what I would encounter during my travels and reroute if necessary. Now, I just live in a place where the weather changes regularly, keeps things interesting.

[malaise]

23. It always makes sense to pay attention

to the weather. And yes certain moments drive our interest in the weather.

[2naSalit]

25. It always makes sense to pay attention...

What kills me are the tourists who show up in this rugged place and expect it to be like Florida or California. They show up in tank tops and flip flops in September, when it's already getting cold for them, and ask where the walmart is... in a town that is one square mile in size. Then they complain if the national park near by is closed, like now, because it isn't running in assembly line fashion. They made no contingency plans, first mistake.

[malaise]

26. We have tourists who come for sun, sea and sand in hurricane season

And are then shocked to hear that a hurricane is coming. I check the weather every day.

[malaise]

12. More here

[HipChick]

13. Traveling down your way

next week....will be keeping an eye out...

[malaise]

14. Could greet the new Prime Minister of Grenada first

What an upset yesterday

[Hugin]

15. It has been quiet in the Atlantic for so much longer than I was expecting.

Most of the recent storms were south of the Baja peninsula.

[malaise]

16. That's not unusual but here comes July

and the tropical Atlantic wakes up

[Hugin]

19. Things are heating up.

[malaise]

21. Islands will get hit next week - hopefully it will be a tropical storm

and not a hurricane