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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNew poll finds Democrats in Senate Battleground Sweep and more energized than the US Taliban!!
https://futuremajority.org/wp-content/uploads/FM-Memo-June-30-2022-Swing-States-Poll-Toplines.pdfNV-SEN: DEM! +3
GA-SEN: DEM! +4
AZ-SEN: DEM +9
NH-Sen: Dem + 9
That's Senate control for us right there!!
Change Research is B- on 538. So, it's a credible poll. All of those who come in shititng all over this poll, and insist that we are doomed in November, can kiss my ass in advance.
Motivation to vote among Democrats has overtaken Republican enthusiasm. While trailing Republican
motivation throughout most of 2022, now 92% of Democrats say they are extremely motivated to vote in
November. 89% of Republican voters say they are extremely motivated to vote. This reflects a seven-point
boost in Democrats enthusiasm since March when Democrats motivation was 85%.
Democrats have pulled ahead in the generic horserace for Congress. In these states, the generic
Democrat leads a generic Republican by two points, 44% to 42%, with 12% of voters undecided. This
reflects a swing in Democrats favor since March when a generic Republican led 45% to 43%.
Kelly leads in Arizona. Democratic U.S. Senator Mark Kelly leads in head-to-head matchups against two
potential Republican nominees, Blake Masters (48%-39%, 13% undecided) and Jim Lamon (47%-41%, 12%
undecided). This reflects a swing from March when Sen. Kelly trailed a generic Republican 46% to 43%.
Warnock leads in Georgia. Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock leads Republican nominee Herschel
Walker (48%-44%, 8% undecided). This reflects a swing from March when Warnock trailed Walker 49% to
48%.
Cortez Masto leads in Nevada. Democratic Senator Catherine Cortez Masto leads Republican nominee
Adam Laxalt (46%-43%, 12% undecided). This reflects a swing from March when Cortez Masto trailed
Laxalt 46% to 44%.
Hassan leads in New Hampshire. Democratic Senator Maggie Hassan leads Republican primary candidate
Don Bolduc (49%-40%, 11% undecided).
Wounded Bear
(58,656 posts)Lovie777
(12,262 posts)TheRealNorth
(9,481 posts)Because 538 came out with their projections and they give us a better chance of holding on to the Senate.
It depends how you feel about the accuracy of 538.
I don't care too much about the plusses or minuses unless they are really big. What matters is:
- Are we over 50% (after subtracting the margin of error)
If not, you have to concerned about the undecided breaking heavily toward the Republicans. That seems to happen a lot.
Srkdqltr
(6,286 posts)And don't tell me to read the article. I'm tired of looking at click bait or told I have to pay.
The title dosen't make sense. Come on folks, read what you write
I refuse to call the Republic party anything but the Taliban. They, that psychopathic monster who occupied the WH before Joe Biden, and their junta on the USSC have lost all ability to request respect. It's also beyond a doubt clear that they are the Christian version of the Taliban.
Srkdqltr
(6,286 posts)Fiendish Thingy
(15,611 posts)Combined with the MOE, many of those races are statistically tied.
Hope the trend in Dems favor continues.
fightforfreedom
(4,913 posts)Women are already organizing, they are pissed off. Gays know they are now in real danger, they will organize. The Supreme Court is pissing off 75% of the American people. The American people are now learning from the committee how Trump and the Republicans tried to end our democracy. How bad is really was.
The Republicans are still running on the Big LIE. Good fucking luck. They are going to get there asses kicked this November.
FloridaBlues
(4,008 posts)Dont know why Dems are asking for 2 more we need more than that.