Experts Predict "Above Average" 2022 Hurricane Season

[Emile]

After an active 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts an “above-average” 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. NOAA predicts 14 to 21 named storms, including three to six major hurricanes.

“Major hurricanes” are Category 3, 4 or 5 and have sustained winds of 111 mph or higher based on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Major hurricanes can cause catastrophic damage that could result in widespread power outages and leave residential areas uninhabitable for several days to months.

The 2022 hurricane season is the seventh consecutive above-average hurricane season. NOAA says there is a 65% chance of an above-normal season, a 25% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance of a below-normal seas

https://www.forbes.com/advisor/homeowners-insurance/2022-hurricane-season/

[Sancho]

1. If every year is "above average", then "average" has no meaning...

[Emile]

3. In the mean while record heat waves circles the globe.

[Jim__]

4. Beginning with this year's hurricane season ... (CPC) will use 1991-2020 as the period of record

From NOAA 2021:

Beginning with this year’s hurricane season outlooks, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) will use 1991-2020 as the new 30-year period of record. The updated averages for the Atlantic hurricane season have increased with 14 named storms and 7 hurricanes. The average for major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5) remains unchanged at 3. The previous Atlantic storm averages, based on the period from 1981 to 2010, were 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.

NOAA is updating the set of statistics used to determine when hurricane seasons are above-, near-, or below-average relative to the climate record. This update process occurs once every decade.

“This update allows our meteorologists to make forecasts for the hurricane season with the most relevant climate statistics taken into consideration,” said Michael Farrar, director of NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction. “Our work illustrates the value of NOAA’s investments in next-generation technologies to capture the data that underpins our outlooks and other forecast products. These products are essential to providing the public and local emergency managers with advance information to prepare for storms, and achieving NOAA’s mission of protecting life and property.”

...

[Azathoth]

8. Yup

Been a good long time since hurricane season has been "average" or "unusually slow"

[Sympthsical]

2. Most active hurricane seasons

For people who are curious, because I was.

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/articles/most-active-hurricane-seasons

1. 2005 28
2. 1933 20
3. 2012 19
4. 2011 19
5. 2010 19
6. 1995 19
7. 1887 19
8. 1969 18
9. 2008 16
10. 2003 16
11. 1936 16
12. 2007 15
13. 2004 15
14. 2001 15
15. 2000 15

[Rstrstx]

6. That's outdated, 2020 should be high on the list

[multigraincracker]

5. Get ready for Texas and Florida to

start begging for Federal $ that they don't like for anyone else. I guess we will have to bail them out again. I don't mind giving them a hand, just that will bit that hand the next day.

[DetroitLegalBeagle]

7. Hopefully they are wrong and it won't be bad

I don't want to see what a hurricane hitting Texas or Louisiana will do to gas prices this time around.

[Emile]

9. Checking AccuWeather on weather in Arkansas.

My brother told me it has been hot down there. They're predicating 100 degree plus for 10 out of the next 15 days.