Chime in: In your district how does it look for a Democrat winning/keeping a Congressional seat?

[mrmpa]

In my district, as far as I can tell Representative Tim Murphy(R-PA) unfortunately will keep his seat. The opponent Maggi is putting up a good fight, but I don't know.

Senator Bob Casey(D-PA), will in probability keep his seat. The opponent Tom Smith, is a teabagger from the beginning. There are ads that show Smith having had 500 injuries and 2000 complaints against the coal mines he owned. There is also video of him stating he had started a teabag party in his county.

i constantly email Murphy when he says/does something tha I totally disagree with. I always receive a well thought out reponse composed by his staff within a few days.

Senator Casey I emailed once, I forget why, but I know I was in disagreement. It took 3 weeks before I got any response.

[ananda]

1. Not a chance.

Tom Delay gerrymandered us into Katy, 150 miles away.

[DFW]

2. In TEXAS?

Need you ask ?

[justabob]

13. TX-30 will stay in dem hands

Granted, she has some issues, but Eddie Bernice Johnson is a long serving dem.

[DFW]

21. It's true, there are some islands of sanity back home

Even my district of Dallas was represented by the very able Martin Frost before Delay gerrymandered it out of reach, and no one forgets the incomparable Barbara Jordan.

But the sad reality is that the Texas House member of today is typified by my own embarrassing Pete Sessions, or the certifiable Louie Gohmert.

[justabob]

27. yeah

The crap with Frost in the redistricting was awful, he was a good and much loved representative. Pete Sessions is awful. The only good thing I experienced with redistricting is that I escaped Pete Sessions.

[customerserviceguy]

3. Elliot Engle in my district

will keep his seat as long as he wants to. He's never drawn more than token opposition, and he doesn't even have to pay for signs in my area.

[hedgehog]

4. we're 50/50 here in the NY 24th (Syracuse)- Burkle - the Tea Party Republican won by something

like 500 votes the last time around. The district has been redrawn since then. Complicating matters is a Green Party candidate who has been holding at about 7% in the pols.

I can't even tell you who is running against Senator Gillibrand!

[greatauntoftriplets]

5. Great!

My Democratic Congressman is running unopposed. Senator Durbin is not up for re-election in Illinois this year.

[doc03]

6. According to Charlie Wilson (D) that is trying regain his seat from teabagger

Bill Johnson Wilson says the latest poll has him 49 - 44. I hope that is not just bs.

[dsc]

7. There is a better chance of the sun rising in the west tomorrow

than my district going GOP. I live in the most liberal district outside of the eastern seaboard.

[Chan790]

8. Maryland?

Damned good.

The GOPer running against Chris Van Hollen is a pro-Israel extremist and ally of Pam Geller running in the liberal western suburbs of DC. The guy's got no support outside of Kemp Mill, an overwhelmingly orthodox-Jewish suburb near Kensington and Wheaton. He's got less chance than the last GOP nominee...a life-long Democrat who party-swapped to run a single-issue platform to get rid of Pepco for poor service.

In the Senate race, Ben Cardin is facing more competition from independent Rob Sobhani than from the GOP. Sobhani is a conservative billionaire self-funding his campaign, he has no experience in politics and he's light on policy proposals. He's Mitt-Romneyesque, Massachusetts Mitt not Modern Mitt. Cardin will almost certainly win but Sobhani is making a race of it trying to buy this seat.

[mile18blister]

9. Due to redistricting

I am now in a D+33 district It's the most Dem district in CA, and the 10th most Dem district in the country. So I think we'll hang on here. And DiFi is running against a complete unknown (I have yet to hear an ad for either Senate candidate).

I wish everyone was in a district like mine.

[onenote]

10. Northern Virginia: Democrat Gerry Connolly appears likely to win reelection

My Congressman was first elected in 2008 by a comfortable 40,000-plus vote margin, but he was targeted in 2010 and just barely squeaked by, winning by under 1000 votes in a low-turnout election. But he seems well positioned to win reelection this time out, despite being targeted again.

[forestpath]

19. WHEW. That is my district and I can't seem to find any info on it.

[Tikki]

11. Newly drawn District...incumbent (R) in old District retired..

Probably depends if women and minorities vote heavily...could go our way...
Probably go to a very, very stupid Republican, otherwise......
Bet he's only one term in Congress, though.



Tikki

[w8liftinglady]

12. um. Joe Barton is my House Rep. which is why I've worked so hard

to elect Kenneth Sanders.
http://kennethsandersforcongress.com/

Miracles still happen... I keep Telling Myself.

[riderinthestorm]

14. Randy Hultgren, teaparty Rethug retains a strong lead dammit. No chance of flipping this seat

[madinmaryland]

15. Every democrat on the state-wide ballot here, will get a 2-1 advantage in our county and precinct.

Obama, Cardin, and Cummings.



And we will probably be the first state to pass a marriage equality referendum!

[Angry Dragon]

16. I have bachmann ...........

[NYC Liberal]

17. My (Dem) rep won 94% of the vote last time. So, I'd say it looks pretty likely!

[standingtall]

18. Ky 3rd District

Our Democratic congressman John Yarmuth will win handily.There as been no polling on the race, and I haven't even seen any campaign commercials which tells the repukes know they don't have a chance

[graywarrior]

20. I'm worried about John Tierney, 6th district in MA

There is a tea party candidate running against him and, unfortunately, John's wife got caught up in a gambling crime. Judge said he had nothing to do with it, but the rapid republicans are spending millions to get their guy in.

[NiteOwll]

22. Adam Kinzinger here...

Since we've been redistricted I'm not sure how it's going, but if I go by yard signs I think it'll be another win for him. Dems didn't even put up a candidate until May. I hope people vote straight Dem because I don't know if Wanda Rohl has had enough time to get her name out there.

[1StrongBlackMan]

23. Here in Arizona ...

Looks like a tight race for Senate (Rich Carmona -1; but the two polls are wildly disparate ... Ras has Flake +6/Behaviorial Research has Carmona at +4has a "weak" lead)

http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/arizona_senate_election.php

All three House Seats are Leaning/tilting Democratic

http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/arizona_house_district_2_election.php

[sakabatou]

24. All of our D's will keep

Senators: Boxer, Feinstien
Reps: Nancy Pelosi, Eshoo

[AlinPA]

25. Karen Ramsburg (D) running against Bill Shuster (R) in PA-9. He will retain his seat easily.

[mrmpa]

32. I hate Shuster..........eom

[Courtesy Flush]

26. Not here

I don't even remember the name of the Democrat I voted for, and I never saw a single ad for him. I was planning to vote for one of the Republicans, because the other republican made him sound like a liberal (That's the best I could hope for here), but he fired back with ads that bragged about voting against Obamacare 30 times, so he lost my vote.

Two well-funded republicans is all we got here, and both are worthless.

[JNelson6563]

28. We may flip our huge district!

My county was just redistricted into Michigan's first CD. It's enormous and one of the top three House races in the country. Hard fought and pretty close with the Dem having a slight edge.

Julie

[SickOfTheOnePct]

29. Gerry Connolly (D) VA 11 - safe n/t

[GoCubsGo]

30. I'm willing to bet everything I own that a Dem will not win.

Joke Wilson is running unopposed. I fucking hate this place.

[longship]

31. MI-02 Republican Bill Hiuzenga running unopposed

There is a Dem write-in, Willie German, Jr.

There are also Libertarian, Green, and US Tax candidates on ballot.

Hiuzenga has this locked-up.

I will do the Democratic write-in so that the Newaygo County Election Commission has to handle my ballot manually. (Yes, we have paper/mark sense ballots.)

Sad state of affairs here, but I know many in the larger area (mostly MI-04) who will vote Democratic. But I live in the very rural Newaygo County, home of a big chunk of the Manistee National Forest. There are far more white tailed deer here than humans, along with wild turkeys, raccoons, skunks, porcupines, woodchucks, coyote, black bear, bobcat, and -- I understand -- cougar. Plus assorted other small animals.

Just not many humans and most of those vote red.

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

33. (Rhode Island) Whitehouse will retain easily....

.....so will Langevin in RI-2.....

My district, Cicilline has had an uphill climb, but it looks good for him to get reelected now. His opponent isn't a bad guy, just a tool for the GOP.

[csziggy]

34. FL Dist. 2 -Dead heat between Steve Southerland (Tea bagger) and Al Lawson Jr.

And that was before Rep. John Lewis marched with Al Lawson and a big crowd to the first day of early voting.

Al Lawson is a great person and I look forward to having him as my Representative!

[dogknob]

35. Not good. I live in Issa Country.

Out here we got billionaires, their hangers-on, people who are just one hot stock tip away from becoming billionaires, and everybody else, who are mostly so beat-down and depressed into submission ("They're all crooks...&quot that they probably won't even vote.

I already voted for Jerry Tetalman and I will most likely be in San Diego on Election day.

[quaker bill]

36. +/- 1%

My new district was drawn red by a republican supermajority in our legislature. Alan Grayson's district will likely elect him, but that is about a mile down the road.

[salin]

37. Open senate seat will flip to Dem (thanks Tea Party - Lugar would've won, but not Murdoch)

Congressional seat - safe. One of the few safe Dem seats in Indiana. My hometown's congressional seat (where I spend a couple of days a week), sadly will stay red.

This state went for Obama in 2008, the first time voting Dem in a presidential election since 1964. Not likely to recur.