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ornotna

(11,482 posts)
Sun Aug 7, 2022, 06:52 PM Aug 2022

And so it begins



1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far
eastern tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear generally
conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern
and central tropical Atlantic, and a tropical depression could form
around the middle to latter part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/?atlc
20 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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And so it begins (Original Post) ornotna Aug 2022 OP
Looks like an Atlantic Storm as it develops malaise Aug 2022 #1
I call foul... llmart Aug 2022 #2
LOL if it looks like Florida malaise Aug 2022 #3
Ha! llmart Aug 2022 #4
I check daily to see malaise Aug 2022 #5
Have we had any actual hurricanes so far this year? PoindexterOglethorpe Aug 2022 #6
None. former9thward Aug 2022 #7
Thank you. PoindexterOglethorpe Aug 2022 #9
I'm not sure, but I don't think it's hurricane season yet, Crunchy Frog Aug 2022 #8
Actually, hurricane season starts June 1. PoindexterOglethorpe Aug 2022 #10
My mistake. My part of the country isn't normally affected by them. Crunchy Frog Aug 2022 #11
Oh, I get that. PoindexterOglethorpe Aug 2022 #12
The Atlantic has had three named storms so far this year. TheBeam19 Aug 2022 #13
Same with 1980 - Hurricane Allen malaise Aug 2022 #16
It actually began on June 5 with TS Alex. TheBeam19 Aug 2022 #14
True, but there was nothing in the Tropical Atlantic, Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico for all of July malaise Aug 2022 #15
Still a low chance of forming into a storm ornotna Aug 2022 #17
What's the odds on durablend Aug 2022 #18
"Why can't we just Nuke the hurricane?" sarcasmo Aug 2022 #19
And now it's gone ornotna Aug 2022 #20

llmart

(17,617 posts)
4. Ha!
Sun Aug 7, 2022, 08:12 PM
Aug 2022

I wish one would carry him away and drop him in the middle of the Atlantic, but then that would be wishing for major pollution of the ocean. Maybe he could be chum for sharks.

malaise

(296,103 posts)
5. I check daily to see
Sun Aug 7, 2022, 08:40 PM
Aug 2022

IHDY!
A hurricane, a lightning strike or a tidal wave could work😀😀

PoindexterOglethorpe

(28,493 posts)
6. Have we had any actual hurricanes so far this year?
Sun Aug 7, 2022, 11:45 PM
Aug 2022

I'm thinking not, but I could easily have missed something, since I live in New Mexico which is a long way from Hurricane Land.

former9thward

(33,424 posts)
7. None.
Sun Aug 7, 2022, 11:51 PM
Aug 2022
2 months down and nary a hurricane so far in the Atlantic basin

As the Atlantic enters the third month of hurricane season, AccuWeather forecasters warn that just because there's yet to be a hurricane doesn't mean the season can't turn on a dime.

?w=632

https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/2-months-down-and-nary-a-hurricane-so-far-in-the-atlantic-basin/1227243

PoindexterOglethorpe

(28,493 posts)
10. Actually, hurricane season starts June 1.
Mon Aug 8, 2022, 12:36 AM
Aug 2022

We're two months in, and so far no hurricanes.

But this has happened before. In 1992 Hurricane Andrew was the first named storm of that season, and it happened in late August. One of the more destructive storms.

PoindexterOglethorpe

(28,493 posts)
12. Oh, I get that.
Mon Aug 8, 2022, 12:41 AM
Aug 2022

Neither is my part of the country. I'm in New Mexico. We also don't get tornadoes here, and earthquakes, while possible, don't seem to happen.

TheBeam19

(344 posts)
13. The Atlantic has had three named storms so far this year.
Mon Aug 8, 2022, 05:07 AM
Aug 2022

Alex, Bonnie, and Colin, none of which strengthened to hurricane status.

malaise

(296,103 posts)
16. Same with 1980 - Hurricane Allen
Mon Aug 8, 2022, 08:19 AM
Aug 2022
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Allen

Hurricane Allen was a rare and extremely powerful Cape Verde hurricane that affected the Caribbean, eastern and northern Mexico, and southern Texas in August 1980. The first named storm and second tropical cyclone of the 1980 Atlantic hurricane season, it was the fifth most intense Atlantic hurricane on record in terms of barometric pressure, behind Hurricane Rita, the 1935 Labor Day hurricane, Hurricane Gilbert, and Hurricane Wilma. It was one of the few hurricanes to reach Category 5 status on the Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Scale on three occasions, and spent more time as a Category 5 than all but two other Atlantic hurricanes. Allen is the only hurricane in the recorded history of the Atlantic basin to achieve sustained winds of 190 mph (305 km/h),[nb 1] thus making it the strongest Atlantic hurricane by wind speed. Until Hurricane Patricia in 2015, these were also the highest sustained winds in the Western Hemisphere.

malaise

(296,103 posts)
15. True, but there was nothing in the Tropical Atlantic, Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico for all of July
Mon Aug 8, 2022, 08:16 AM
Aug 2022

The next system will be Danielle.

ornotna

(11,482 posts)
17. Still a low chance of forming into a storm
Wed Aug 10, 2022, 04:55 PM
Aug 2022
1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands has decreased since yesterday. This system is expected to
move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the
tropical Atlantic during the next several days, and significant
development is becoming less likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2


My guess is the dust coming off Africa is suppressing it. Hope it continues.

https://astronomy.com/news/2022/06/gargantuan-saharan-dust-plume-blowing-across-the-atlantic

durablend

(9,269 posts)
18. What's the odds on
Wed Aug 10, 2022, 05:09 PM
Aug 2022

A direct hit to a certain place in Florida? And any chance it'll just sit and spin there?

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