General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAnd so it begins

A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far
eastern tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear generally
conducive for gradual development of this system while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern
and central tropical Atlantic, and a tropical depression could form
around the middle to latter part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/?atlc
malaise
(296,103 posts)
llmart
(17,617 posts)malaise, I think you took your orange sharpie and drew that in.
malaise
(296,103 posts)Slobby will sharpie it away from Mar-a-lardo.
I wish one would carry him away and drop him in the middle of the Atlantic, but then that would be wishing for major pollution of the ocean. Maybe he could be chum for sharks.
malaise
(296,103 posts)IHDY!
A hurricane, a lightning strike or a tidal wave could work😀😀
PoindexterOglethorpe
(28,493 posts)I'm thinking not, but I could easily have missed something, since I live in New Mexico which is a long way from Hurricane Land.
former9thward
(33,424 posts)As the Atlantic enters the third month of hurricane season, AccuWeather forecasters warn that just because there's yet to be a hurricane doesn't mean the season can't turn on a dime.
?w=632
https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/2-months-down-and-nary-a-hurricane-so-far-in-the-atlantic-basin/1227243
PoindexterOglethorpe
(28,493 posts)And that's an AMAZING graph. Thank you for posting that.
Crunchy Frog
(28,280 posts)or else it's just starting.
PoindexterOglethorpe
(28,493 posts)We're two months in, and so far no hurricanes.
But this has happened before. In 1992 Hurricane Andrew was the first named storm of that season, and it happened in late August. One of the more destructive storms.
Crunchy Frog
(28,280 posts)PoindexterOglethorpe
(28,493 posts)Neither is my part of the country. I'm in New Mexico. We also don't get tornadoes here, and earthquakes, while possible, don't seem to happen.
TheBeam19
(344 posts)Alex, Bonnie, and Colin, none of which strengthened to hurricane status.
malaise
(296,103 posts)Hurricane Allen was a rare and extremely powerful Cape Verde hurricane that affected the Caribbean, eastern and northern Mexico, and southern Texas in August 1980. The first named storm and second tropical cyclone of the 1980 Atlantic hurricane season, it was the fifth most intense Atlantic hurricane on record in terms of barometric pressure, behind Hurricane Rita, the 1935 Labor Day hurricane, Hurricane Gilbert, and Hurricane Wilma. It was one of the few hurricanes to reach Category 5 status on the SaffirSimpson Hurricane Scale on three occasions, and spent more time as a Category 5 than all but two other Atlantic hurricanes. Allen is the only hurricane in the recorded history of the Atlantic basin to achieve sustained winds of 190 mph (305 km/h),[nb 1] thus making it the strongest Atlantic hurricane by wind speed. Until Hurricane Patricia in 2015, these were also the highest sustained winds in the Western Hemisphere.
TheBeam19
(344 posts)malaise
(296,103 posts)The next system will be Danielle.
ornotna
(11,482 posts)Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands has decreased since yesterday. This system is expected to
move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the
tropical Atlantic during the next several days, and significant
development is becoming less likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
My guess is the dust coming off Africa is suppressing it. Hope it continues.
https://astronomy.com/news/2022/06/gargantuan-saharan-dust-plume-blowing-across-the-atlantic
durablend
(9,269 posts)A direct hit to a certain place in Florida? And any chance it'll just sit and spin there?
sarcasmo
(23,968 posts)ornotna
(11,482 posts)Thankfully.