New Florida poll (U of N Florida: A/B) Demmings +4; DeSantis +7

[brooklynite]

Registered voters who said they would vote in the general midterm election were asked who they would vote for if the election were held today, and the candidates were Ron DeSantis and Nikki Fried. Fifty percent of respondents said they would vote for DeSantis, with 43% indicating a vote for Fried, and 5% said they would vote for someone else. DeSantis also came out on top with 50% when asked the same question if the Democratic candidate was Charlie Crist, who had 42%, and 6% saying they would vote for someone else.

Val Demings came out on top in the head-to-head against Marco Rubio for U.S. Senate, with 48% indicating a vote for Demings and 44% for Rubio, with 7% saying they would vote for someone else.

The UNF PORL Florida Statewide Poll consists of a random sample of 1,624 registered Florida voters and was conducted August 8 through August 12, 2022, by the Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL) at the University of North Florida. The survey was administered through email via Qualtrics, an online survey platform. The sampling frame was comprised of registered voters in the July 2022 update of the Florida voter file, who either had a listed email address or could be matched using a commercial database. Sixty-five percent of the respondents who were missing email addresses were appended using Aristotle’s Match-It service, which matched respondents to email addresses using the name and physical address listed in the voter file. This study had a 4.2% response rate

https://www.unf.edu/uploadedFiles/aa/coas/porl/UNF%20PORL%20August%20Survey.pdf

[TheProle]

1. Go Val!

[DemocracyWins202]

2. Doesn't make sense the Val is beating Rubio +4 and DeSantis beating his democratic rivals by +7

[brooklynite]

3. Voters tend to have different perspectives on Federal and State races

[edhopper]

4. Voters often can't add

2+2.

[GreenWave]

17. They often fall for stupid bullshit

Last time it was "separation of powers" ! I better for a different party to keep them separate. WTH???

[Claustrum]

6. Chances are, in order to win in Florida, you need crossover republicans or independent votes.

And they tend to make these decisions on a candidate level instead of straight Dem/Republican tickets.

[Demsrule86]

7. There is no candidate yet in the Governors race. The Primary is a week from today I think.

Charlie Crist, Cadance Daniel, Nikki Fried, and Robert Willis are running in the Democratic primary election for Governor of Florida on August 23, 2022. Crist and Fried have received the most media attention and endorsements.

[Demsrule86]

10. Sure it does...until a nominee is chosen, polls really don't matter. And we must not discount

Roe and the likely effect on the midterm.

[nycbos]

5. I've been disappointed in FL too many times to get my hopes up.

Very skeptical of an email poll.

[Demsrule86]

11. Better than landline polls I think.

[Baggies]

8. Rubio has the Hispanic/Latino vote

I’m skeptical of polls in general. I’m also not seeing a “margin of error” listed for any race.

[Demsrule86]

13. Rubio is underwater and lets not forget Roe.

[PlanetBev]

9. Don't forget the Kansas ballot initiative poll

It said that 44% would vote no on overturning the constitutional right to abortion 48% would vote yes.

Surprise, surprise. You never know.

[awesomerwb1]

12. I'm tempted to say f**k Florida

But we need to bring the fight everywhere.

[Demsrule86]

14. I am glad you said Tempted...because how many states should we cede? Howard Dean

believed in a 50-state strategy and he gave us the largest majority in recent history. I will never understand why he was replaced.

[Elessar Zappa]

18. I think he was replaced because he had beef with Rahm Emanuel.

At least that’s what I remember, I could be wrong.

[Demsrule86]

19. Well it was a terrible decision.

[Elessar Zappa]

20. It definitely was.

Howard Dean was an excellent DNC chair.

[Demsrule86]

21. The problem is some think the DNC job is something you give people you like and it shouldn't be.

Jaime Harrison is a good guy but does not have the experience needed IMHO. And this year is so damn important! He is by all accounts a prodigious fundraiser and that is important but there are other things in that job that only experience can teach you.

[brooklynite]

23. Not true...

He had a dispute with Rahm over funding priorities (winnable House races vs State Party building), but that had nothing to do with his tenure. President Obama picked Tim Kaine as DNC Chair when Dean's term ended.

[Elessar Zappa]

26. Ok, thanks for the info.

I apparently misremembered.

[carpetbagger]

16. It's not a hard governorship to take

We lost narrowly in strong GOP years in 2010 and 2014. Obama carried the state. We would have won in 2018 had our candidate not had legal issues (for which he has since been indicated).

Take down Desantis, we've kneecapped the not-Trump frontrunner for president.

[303squadron]

15. A little perspective please!

I live in Florida. I know folks on the "other side". They openly bragged on FB during the last presidential election on how they lied to the pollsters. The "ghost" of Nate Silver throws shade on any Florida poll. I don't believe them!

[EnergizedLib]

22. As much as I'd want DeFascist to lose

I’d rather keep Congress blue and make it even more blue. Please let this be true on Val.

[Master Jah-Remi]

24. Yes.

Better a Dem Senator then Gov. Florida legislature has been R controlled for almost 30 years. A Dem Gov would be great, but nowhere near as valuble as another Dem Senator.

[msongs]

27. senate majority already without demmings. in that case better to win FL gov race if one must

choose only one

[Initech]

25. Go Val! Fuck Ron DeSantis!

[NewsCenter28]

28. Seeing Rubio go down in defeat would be all kinds of delicious!! Also LOVE Val.

Rubio has turned himself into quite a hard-core TFGer, FTW, also.