AK-AL: Peltola expands lead over Palin

[RandySF]

Link to tweet

?s=21&t=9McGXe4Idd8E7fV5LSYm-g

[Hermit-The-Prog]

1. I guess this is going to take a while longer.

[DarthDem]

2. If She Needs That High a Percentage of Begich 2nd Place Votes . . .

. . . it probably isn't going to be close, actually, and Peltola will win (I certainly hope so!!). The prevailing idea is that many Begich voters - more than 32%, certainly - would not want Palin in office under any circumstances and thus ranked Peltola or someone else 2nd. But Wasserman loves horse races and hot takes more than actual deep analysis.

[WarGamer]

9. How many Begich voters will make Peltola their 2nd choice?

Can't be many...

[Polybius]

10. I'm sure there's even a tiny amount of Begich voters that made Palin their 2nd choice

Even if it's 5%, that could make a difference.

[Polybius]

3. Predict It currently has Palin with a 69% chance of winning

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7806/Who-will-win-the-2022-Alaska-at-large-special-election

[ShazzieB]

4. What does this mean?

Depending on how many ballots “exhaust”

I've been trying to educate myself as to how ranked choice voting works, and I think I have a handle on the basics. However, I still find the whole thing confusing, and this terminology has me completely baffled. What does it mean for ballots to "exhaust"?

[KS Toronado]

5. Never heard the "exhaust" term used with ballots.

Is it possibly ballots who picked no 2nd place winner?

[onenote]

7. I believe that refers to ballots that didn't make a second choice

Ballots cast for Begich that don't show any second choice.

[ShazzieB]

8. Oh, that makes sense!

What odd terminology, though. That's why I've had such a hard time figuring out how ranked choice voting works. Almost every source I've looked at had some cryptic terminology somewhere along the line that stopped me in my tracks.

I finally found a site that explains the whole thing in plain English, and it's been a big help: https://www.rcvresources.org/what-is-rcv

[JohnnyRingo]

6. I would think they'd be sick of her by now.

They've already seem Mama Grizzly's act and it's a white trash facade.
Time for some new blood and I'm sure in Alaska they have someone else who fits the bill. For better or worse.