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rufus dog

(8,419 posts)
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 03:48 PM Nov 2012

One sign of progress - haven't seen anyone bring up the "Bradley Effect"

Last cycle it was brought up all the time, that Obama might underperform in actuals to polling based upon some people being closet racists. In reality Obama overperformed.

Just a small sign of progress.

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One sign of progress - haven't seen anyone bring up the "Bradley Effect" (Original Post) rufus dog Nov 2012 OP
You must have missed Morning Joe HipChick Nov 2012 #1
never have to watch the dude on the West Coast rufus dog Nov 2012 #4
So you missed the MSNBC lineup in the morning nadinbrzezinski Nov 2012 #2
I am MSNBC-less today.. HipChick Nov 2012 #3
was specifically thinking about DU rufus dog Nov 2012 #5
Doesn't really apply to an incumbent. Scootaloo Nov 2012 #6
Personally, I believe there is going to be a reverse Bradley Effect... DonViejo Nov 2012 #7
The remaining racists are no longer ashamed of it cthulu2016 Nov 2012 #8
 

rufus dog

(8,419 posts)
4. never have to watch the dude on the West Coast
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 03:51 PM
Nov 2012

I do see his dickishness displayed on clips though.

 

rufus dog

(8,419 posts)
5. was specifically thinking about DU
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 03:53 PM
Nov 2012

I would guess the talking heads looking for a way to deny reality would fall back to the canard.

 

Scootaloo

(25,699 posts)
6. Doesn't really apply to an incumbent.
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 03:56 PM
Nov 2012

Much less a demonstrably popular incumbent.

The rich white guy with the rich white running mate and the comfortable conservative jibba-jabba lost last time. Handily, there was no real contest. And this time, the rich white guy with the rich white running mate and the uncomfortably extremist conservative jibba-jabba, is visibly doing worse.

There's also taking into account the large differences; California in 1982 is nowhere near the United States in 2012, either in terms of demographics or society. A rich white guy with comforting conservativism has not just swept the national elections, racism is not as strong a motivating force in the electorate, and even if it were, nonwhite voters are turning out in much greater numbers.

DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
7. Personally, I believe there is going to be a reverse Bradley Effect...
Sun Nov 4, 2012, 03:59 PM
Nov 2012

lots of white folks voting for the President. I have nothing but gut intuition about this, I've read a lot of OP's, here at DU, written by people that are shocked to learn their neighbors, relatives, in-laws, etc., all described as Republicans, who say they are voting for the President based solely on the fact the family members cannot stand Romney or do not trust him. I have a few more reasons to believe in the reverse Bradley Effect but I'm betting the Prez comes in with 53% of the vote to Mitt's 45 to 47%

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