I just heard that Tampa hasn't has a hurricane landfall for over 100:years

[malaise]

This is looking serious

[doc03]

1. I remember a few years ago when the back of the storm surge sucked several

feet of water out of the Tampa Bay.

[CatWoman]

3. that was Hurricane Irma

blew my mind when I saw the pictures

[Hortensis]

4. Us too. Irma was huge. But her eye heading straight for Tampa

took a tiny jog east just south of Tampa Bay and went inland, apparently taking the bay's water with her.

At that time we had an ancient, very building code-noncompliant mobile home in a park on an estuary off the south end of Tampa Bay, and another similar and also very floodable MH on a marsh in north-central Florida (deliberately 2 hours apart so we'd be unlikely to lose both in one storm).

Irma headed directly for the first, which had no damage, little damage to others, and power back up to the park within two days. An estimated possible 9' tsunami would have wiped the park from existence had Irma dumped the water where she got it.

Irma then headed directly up the middle of FL over our MH on the marsh, which also had no damage, same for neighbors.

Irma continued on and couple days later dropped 5 trees on our property in north Georgia (where we'd been watching FL from safety) and tens of thousands elsewhere, taking power out to hundreds of thousands for nearly 2 weeks. That caused us to evacuate, after we joined neighbors in clearing trees from roads to the highway that public services weren't going to be able to get to for some while.

Go figure. But, Irma did "miss" Tampa. Record stands.

[kentuck]

2. The way this one slipped thru the back door...

...it could happen this time.

[HAB911]

5. 1921

This is shaping up to be a worst case scenario for the bay and downtown area. I'm at 60' above sea level and 30 miles from the coast.

https://www.wikiwand.com/en/1921_Tampa_Bay_hurricane

[malaise]

7. Wow,

Thanks for this.
As bad as it will be for Floridians,I suspect this will be a life sentence for DeathSentence.
His lack of empathy and arrogance will be his undoing.
He will be ripped apart by national and local media more than most homes.

[GreenWave]

6. Someone needs to give Ian a map.

Mar-a-lago is in a different direction.