Pro-Lula regions counting votes more slowly But Bolsonaro doing much better than expected ...

[Donkees]

Brian Winter
@BrazilBrian
·
8m
Pro-Lula regions counting votes more slowly
But Bolsonaro doing much better than expected in southeastern population centers of SP, MG, RJ so far. That’s big

______

Presidential results
From TSE via Reuters · First round · Preliminary results

Live Updated at 6:27 PM EDT

From TSE via Reuters · First round · Preliminary results
41% reporting

Jair Bolsonaro

47%
22,035,860

Lula
PT
44.2%
20,700,033

[ColinC]

1. I think Lula's gonna win tonight.

Considering he's doing this well despite his strongest regions counting so slowly.

[walkingman]

3. I hope so - so sad that so many support the fascist agenda.

[ColinC]

4. Isn't it interesting how these authoritarian types always seem to outperform the polls?

It's quite sad.

[Elessar Zappa]

6. I firmly believe it will be the opposite for our midterms.

I think we’re going to outperform the polls due to the Roe effect.

[ColinC]

11. Also I think it will be helpful that the fascist is not on the ballot this time.

[Elessar Zappa]

12. Yes.

The Trump effect won’t be there.

[brooklynite]

7. Not sure he's clearing 50% at this point...

…leading to a runoff.

[ColinC]

13. He's gaining pretty steadily

Since most of the remaining vote seems to favor him, I have a good feeling he will at least barely clear 50%

[JohnSJ]

28. There will be a runoff

[iemanja]

17. He needs over 50% to win tonight

If neither he nor Bolsonaro get over 50%, there will be a run off.

[ColinC]

18. I know. He's pretty close and with the remaining 30% likely favoring him, I think he

may pull it off

[iemanja]

19. I hope so.

[Elessar Zappa]

2. Not good.

C’mon Lula!

[ColinC]

5. Lula now almost within a point of Lula with only 52% reporting.

Considering the remaining vote is far more favorable to Lula, I expect Lula to win.

[Elessar Zappa]

8. I hope so!

Bolsonaro is a fascist.

[ColinC]

9. There seems to be a consistency all over the world with fascist/ authoritarian types outperforming

polls. It will always takes great communication and a solid ground game to beat them. You can never take anything for granted.

[Donkees]

10. 52% reporting: Bolsonaro 46.3% /Lula 44.9%

From TSE via Reuters · First round · Preliminary results
52% reporting

Jair Bolsonaro
PL
46.3%
27,737,249

Lula
PT
44.9%
26,873,309

[ColinC]

14. now 45.2 lula and 46 bolsonaro

with 60% reporting.

[Donkees]

15. Bolsonaro 45.7% Lula 45.6%

[ColinC]

16. Lula now ahead!

45.7 45.5. 70% in.

[Donkees]

20. Brian Winter: But story of the night is still -- We'll have a 2nd round, and it looks surprisingly...

Brian Winter
@BrazilBrian
·
3m
Lula passes Bolsonaro with 70% of votes counted and I’d guess he’ll stay there

But story of the night is still — We’ll have a 2nd round, and it looks surprisingly competitive

[ColinC]

24. Please tell me he isn't the Dave Wasserman of Latin American elections.

Please?

[Donkees]

30. 92% reporting: Lula 47.3% :(

92% reporting

Lula

47.3%

[ColinC]

31. If all that is remaining is strong Lula regions, we (pro democracy people) have a chance.

The Amazonas flipped from a strong Bolsonaro lead to a solid Lula lead with 7% remaining (48-44). If Lula can get a majority there, I bet he will win 50% in the total vote.

[ColinC]

29. 86% in Lula 46.6 and Bolsonaro 44.7

There's at least a chance Lula can clinch this tonight!

[iemanja]

21. Where are you finding these updates?

[ColinC]

23. google

i just type brazil election results and it pops up...

[iemanja]

25. I was on Bing

I switched to Google. Thanks.

[ColinC]

26. Welcome!

[Sky Jewels]

22. Come on, Lula!

[Beautiful Disaster]

27. Lula will win the most votes. Now the question is whether he'll top 50%?

[iemanja]

32. Lula 3.5 points ahead

With 94% of precincts in. I don't believe all precincts use electronic voting.

[Donkees]

33. 98% reporting: Lula 48%