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What's up with PredictIt saying that our odds are worsening? (Original Post) Polybius Oct 2022 OP
Who knows. triron Oct 2022 #1
I don't know. Elessar Zappa Oct 2022 #2
Races tighten as the election gets closer Fiendish Thingy Oct 2022 #3
That is true Polybius Oct 2022 #6
Just five more weeks of repubs corruption being exposed. rubbersole Oct 2022 #4
Barnes is getting hammered in WI. Warnock and Cortez Masto are struggling. LonePirate Oct 2022 #5
I still think we're going to outperform polls, Elessar Zappa Oct 2022 #7
Several States have recently been heading in the wrong direction... WarGamer Oct 2022 #8

Elessar Zappa

(13,975 posts)
2. I don't know.
Mon Oct 3, 2022, 01:31 PM
Oct 2022

I don’t necessarily believe the polls. Just like they underestimated Trump turnout in ‘16, I think they’re underestimating turnout on our side as a result of Roe being overturned.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,601 posts)
3. Races tighten as the election gets closer
Mon Oct 3, 2022, 01:32 PM
Oct 2022

Undecideds become decided.

A lot of the polls for some races had undecideds in the teens (13+%), sometimes twice the margin between the candidates.

LonePirate

(13,419 posts)
5. Barnes is getting hammered in WI. Warnock and Cortez Masto are struggling.
Mon Oct 3, 2022, 01:44 PM
Oct 2022

Oz is closing the gap on Fetterman. Ryan in OH and Kelly in AZ have been the only bright spots for Dems lately and Ryan is still expected to lose.

Elessar Zappa

(13,975 posts)
7. I still think we're going to outperform polls,
Mon Oct 3, 2022, 04:22 PM
Oct 2022

like Trump did in ‘16. Many people registered to vote after the overturning of Roe and aren’t being included in “likely voters”. People shouldn’t underestimate the power of pissed off women.

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