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iemanja

(52,983 posts)
Mon Oct 10, 2022, 04:56 PM Oct 2022

Who will win in November?

How confident are you about the 2022 election?


30 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
I feel certain that Democrats win both houses
15 (50%)
Democrats will hold the Senate but lose the House
4 (13%)
Republicans will win both houses
0 (0%)
I don't know, and I'm worried
10 (33%)
I don't know, but I'm not worried
1 (3%)
Other, explain below
0 (0%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
15 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

Mz Pip

(27,358 posts)
1. I don't know
Mon Oct 10, 2022, 05:16 PM
Oct 2022

But any Democratic win will be contested with claims of fraud.
Nothing will be settled on election night.

MOMFUDSKI

(4,702 posts)
2. I have to agree with you on this.
Mon Oct 10, 2022, 05:22 PM
Oct 2022

If we can get a good turnout we win because there are still way more of us than them. But then the lawsuits begin and it will be a guaranteed shitshow.

lark

(22,814 posts)
4. In an sane world, this wouldn't be a problem, Dems would win over the traitorsous R's.
Mon Oct 10, 2022, 06:30 PM
Oct 2022

But this is a nowhere near fair or totally sane country, 30% think it's fine to overturn the government with violence. 30% is freaking scary!! So those 30% will vote for the fascist and fascist leaning R's without a doubt. The question is how many Independents are sane? Will woman, especially young women, stand up for themselves or think nothing bad will happen to them or those they care about. Will Repug women realize they could be killed too if they have a bad miscarriage and live in a state with no exception for the health of the mother. Do they even realize what's at stake? I worry!

Elessar Zappa

(13,457 posts)
5. I'm worried but
Mon Oct 10, 2022, 06:34 PM
Oct 2022

I believe we’ll hold the Senate and I think we have a better than 50/50 chance to hold the House due to post-Roe turnout.

WarGamer

(11,677 posts)
6. I feel ok about the Senate, thinking 51 seats.
Mon Oct 10, 2022, 06:35 PM
Oct 2022

The House is literally flip a coin.

Not only are we looking at gerrymandering, voter suppression and a tough economy...

But the census gave the GOP around 5-6 seats.

 

Marius25

(3,213 posts)
9. I felt better about the Senate until polls showed us losing Nevada.
Mon Oct 10, 2022, 06:44 PM
Oct 2022

Cortez Masto is struggling there.

Elessar Zappa

(13,457 posts)
8. We just gotta hope
Mon Oct 10, 2022, 06:41 PM
Oct 2022

that women’s rights trump high gas prices. I’m leaning toward us outperforming the polls but I’m far from confident in that assessment.

Celerity

(42,034 posts)
10. This is by far the hardest election to predict in my lifetime (I was born weeks before the 1996 one)
Mon Oct 10, 2022, 06:52 PM
Oct 2022

I always get a inner feeling that seldom is wrong (2016, with Trump/Clinton for instance).

Do not have one this time.

Too much delta, too many variables, and too little faith that the Rethugs can be stopped if they go nationwide, mass, systemic cheating mode.

former9thward

(31,472 posts)
13. What is the definition of winning?
Mon Oct 10, 2022, 08:09 PM
Oct 2022

Winning the House? Winning the Senate? Winning both? Picking up seats in either? Picking up state houses? Picking up governors?

Polybius

(14,965 posts)
14. We'll pick up one or two seats in the Senate, but we'll lose Nevada
Mon Oct 10, 2022, 08:18 PM
Oct 2022

We will lose 20 seats in the House. Not sure about Governorships, but if Lee Zeldin wins in NY, it's over.

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