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yortsed snacilbuper

(7,939 posts)
Thu Oct 13, 2022, 12:31 AM Oct 2022

Pennsylvania Democrats working to turn state House of Representatives blue

Pennsylvania Democrats think they could turn the state House of Representatives blue. If it happens, it could be a rare state chamber flip in a year that a lot of observers think will be pretty good for Republicans.

"Two words: Doug and Mastriano. There is a belief that if Mastriano is seen as too far to the right and Democrats have an opening that they normally wouldn't have in a midterm year," Costa said.

It is an opening that Democrats want to walk through

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/pennsylvania-democrats-working-to-turn-state-house-of-representatives-blue/ar-AA12TDBs?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=EE04&cvid=744639fb5e3142e3a611de90826b79b9

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Pennsylvania Democrats working to turn state House of Representatives blue (Original Post) yortsed snacilbuper Oct 2022 OP
That would be amazing Sugarcoated Oct 2022 #1
We have to claw back some state legislatures. May as well start with Pennsylvania! Hermit-The-Prog Oct 2022 #2
The legislative redistricting commission Deminpenn Oct 2022 #3
I don't see it, our geographic disadvantage in PA is huge Amishman Oct 2022 #4
I don't know my friend samplegirl Oct 2022 #5
I'd love to be wrong Amishman Oct 2022 #6

Hermit-The-Prog

(33,400 posts)
2. We have to claw back some state legislatures. May as well start with Pennsylvania!
Thu Oct 13, 2022, 01:59 AM
Oct 2022

Roe, Roe, Roe your vote
against theocracy!
Republicans revoke your rights
and kill democracy!

THESE are the races that will determine control of the House of Representatives:
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100217206774

Got post-its?
Stick 'em up for a blue wave: https://www.democraticunderground.com/100217078977

Deminpenn

(15,290 posts)
3. The legislative redistricting commission
Thu Oct 13, 2022, 05:51 AM
Oct 2022

did a good job with the new maps. The House districts are much more compact and contiguous. For example, my district HD14 used to wind through the area working around all the D voting areas to ensure an R win. The new HD14 is now compact and covers basically the NE corner of the county. It's still R friendly but not gerrymandered like the old district. The incumbent is a completely inoffensive R who does little to nothing for the district and rarely crosses party lines on proposed legislation. He's known as a "nice guy". Unfortunately he gets support from Dems because he's supported public education and teachers. I expect him to be re-elected, but because the new district now includes areas that were excluded before, perhaps he'll be less partisan.

The R/D state senators on the redistricting committee were happy with the new maps. It pretty much maintained the status quo. Senate probably will remain the same with Rs holding a 28-22 advantage. They lost their supermajority back in 2018, iirc, doubtful they'll get it back.

Amishman

(5,559 posts)
4. I don't see it, our geographic disadvantage in PA is huge
Thu Oct 13, 2022, 06:07 AM
Oct 2022

We've been losing ground with blue collar voters, especially in NE and SW PA. That leaves us the city centers and philly suburbs. Anything districted is a huge challenge for us because by area PA is very red.

If a Mastriano headwind was that strong against the Pubs, we wouldn't see the Fetterman Oz race tightening in the polls.

Amishman

(5,559 posts)
6. I'd love to be wrong
Thu Oct 13, 2022, 08:29 AM
Oct 2022

But I think the shadow of 2018 is also on me, where there was so much hope for breaking through and even in a blue wave year we fell short.

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