There goes the narrative. Latinos support midterm Democrats by more than 2:1

[fanfanois]

Pundits find nothing more fun than to pretend that Latinos are slowly drifting towards Republicans.
proof? Who needs proof?

Latino voters break 52% for the Democrats, 23% for the Republican and 21% say they support neither candidate.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/13/politics/cnn-poll-voter-preferences/index.html

[JohnSJ]

1. I hope it is true

[Wounded Bear]

2. Indeed! nt

[FoxNewsSucks]

3. Is that going up or down? Seems to me that 52% should be a lot higher

considering the policies and words coming from republicons.

If support for Democrats is going down, then the rightwing strategy of turning numerous radio stations into spanish-speaking versions of Fox is working.

[Celerity]

11. down

One of the biggest stories in #Texas is what has unfolded in South Texas. Look at Starr County in the Rio Grande Valley, heavy Latino population. It’s a small county but the swing is unreal. Clinton won 79-19 in 2016. Biden won 52-47.

Link to tweet

[FoxNewsSucks]

16. That's what I thought.

Rush Limpbaugh & Hannity showed the power of AM hate radio.

In TX and south FL, they're now doing it with spanish-speaking stations. Obviously, it is working, and our elected politicians continue to largely ignore the manipulative power of all media, including easily-available AM radio.

[Celerity]

17. Also the huge numbers of Latinos converting to evangelical christianity. I have posted on this

extensively here.

[brush]

4. I don't get why that many support repubs after trump's...

egregious policies against POCs, especially how cruelly he broke up families on the border.

[Fiendish Thingy]

5. Well, the full narrative is "Latinos used to support Dems 3:1, now it's down to 2:1"

In certain states (TX & FL in particular) Latino support for Dems has been weakening. Some in the media have speculated that Dems would lose the support of the majority of Latino voters, but that’s clearly not going to happen. Nevertheless, there is an identifiable trend over the past few cycles.

Let’s hope that changes in November.

[Igel]

15. That would represent the narrative and concerns much more accurately.

But it's problematic because it doesn't fit the meta-narrative.

[Elessar Zappa]

24. We can win them back, I believe.

Most haven’t been voting Republican that long. We just need to understand that Hispanics have concerns other than immigration. I believe a coordinated messaging campaign focused on kitchen table issues can win many back to our side.

[Wounded Bear]

6. Didn't see the line you quote in the article...

And indeed, the headline absolutely contradicts what you've posted.

[Silent3]

7. Hasn't that been higher than 52% before?

52% isn’t bad, but if it has been higher, the narrative you don’t like isn’t inaccurate.

[Just A Box Of Rain]

8. 23% Republican and 21% who support neither candidate is not good news.

Thread fail.

[dutch777]

9. Yeah, but look at 2020 results in south Florida-- "safe" Dem House seats lost to Repugs

Somewhere we Dems are missing something relative to Latino and other minority voters. We'll take 52% but as others said, 75% should be the mark.

[sarisataka]

10. If only this line wasn't in the article...

The demographic divides the poll reveals ahead of this election suggest that core Democratic groups such as younger voters, Black and Latino voters, and even to some degree women, are expressing less support for Democratic candidates than they have in recent past elections

[Mystery sage]

12. Sadly The title thread is a lie

While I do want more optimism coming into midterms terms I don't need lies told to me thank you very much.

[ColinC]

13. Latino support wasnt always Democratic

Like didn't it take Republicans passing extremely anti immigration laws in California to help make California a solid blue state? But first Dems had to run on it, before they could pull their voters in. This might be a similar path in Texas before you can just assume that Demographic changes will determine control.

[GreenWave]

14. The story was always law abiding republicans break from magat party.

But that would mean a Blue tsunami which does not bring in the bucks that a 50/50 does.

[Celerity]

18. you left out a big part that undercuts your slant

[SlimJimmy]

19. This close to the midterms, they should be using

only likely voters. Why these pollsters continue to use a sample of registered voters is beyond me. The only other scenario that is worse, is when they use only adults in their polling.

The new CNN Poll was conducted by SSRS on September 3 through October 5 among a random national sample of 1,982 adults initially reached by mail, including 1,577 registered voters and 1,198 likely voters. Surveys were either conducted online or by telephone with a live interviewer. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points; it is 3.5 points among registered voters and 4.0 among likely voters. The survey includes an oversample of adults living in 50 competitive congressional districts, with districts chosen based on publicly available race ratings at the time the sample was chosen. Results among the 540 registered voters in that sample have an error margin of plus or minus 5.4 points; it is 5.6 points among the 484 likely voters. That subset was weighted to reflect its proper share of the overall adult population of the United States.

[David__77]

20. It's not mysterious what has occurred.

And it has to do with CLASS. Democrats must be perceived as the party of labor.

[Zeitghost]

21. I don't follow your line of reasoning

You claim the narrative that Latinos are slowly leaving the Democratic Party but then post data that completely contradicts that claim.

52%, if true, is not good, even if the Republicans are only getting half of those not voting Dem.

[helpisontheway]

22. I hope this is true

However, I doubt it will help us in some of those red states. Hope I’m wrong..

[MenloParque]

23. I'm being optimistic but I was so disheartened driving through San Joaquin and Coachella Valley

a year ago. These two regions produce more fruits and veggies than anywhere in this country. The amount of Trump, Let’s go Brandon, fuck JB, Gadsden, pro gun 2A, Fuck your feelings flags that I saw on trucks driven by Mexican farmers was so sad. I nearly wanted to cry. A year later here I am GOTV canvassing in San Joaquin County. Gotta keep fighting!

[Amishman]

25. Florida could be interesting then, polls have been all over

We've had anything from within the margin of error to Rubio leading by 7+.