General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAll this frothing and foaming about how the right wing is a shoe in for the mid terms is nothing
more than prep work for denying the losses they are about to suffer. They are going down or America is.
Polls that are most prominently reported are primarily financed by right wing organizations, with predetermined results already set.
Every single one of these losers is going to scream election fraud the instant they see the writing (votes) on the wall.
They simply refuse to accept that the vast majority of Americans think they are nuts.
Here in Wisconsin the republicans have rigged the districts so badly for voters that it is almost impossible for democrats to win anything other than state wide elections, which they do consistently. If the gerrymandering were stopped in Wisconsin republicans would NEVER win another office again.
They lost the presidency, governor, and a senate seat last time. They know their days are numbered. They are scared to death of the power they are going to lose sooner or later, but lose it they will.
live love laugh
(16,383 posts)FSogol
(47,623 posts)tritsofme
(19,900 posts)Demsrule86
(71,542 posts)effort to discourage Democrats...it won't work. Georgia is having a huge turnout.
Silent3
(15,909 posts)When it suits some people, they will argue being ahead in the polls creates complacency, and therefore supposedly lowers turnout.
Do you even realize that many political polls are a form of advertising for polling services? And the worse a pollster does at polling political races, the less saleable their paid-for polling becomes?
TreasonousBastard
(43,049 posts)A party wins the White House and maybe Congress, and two years later things aren't going the way the public would like, so they throw the bums out.
moose65
(3,454 posts)I can't wrap my head around a voter who voted for Obama and other Democrats in 2008, and then 2 years later decided to vote for a Republican in their House district. The more likely scenario is that the Democratic voter didn't vote in 2010. Back not too many years ago, mid-term elections were base elections, and the Republicans were more likely to turn out their base voters.
I really don't think there are that many truly "independent" voters who jump back and forth between the two parties. Unaffiliated voters also have their partisan biases, and I think it's as baked-in as it is for hardcore Dems or Repubs. However, independent voters may decide to sit out an election. They don't vote for the other side - they just don't vote at all.
JustAnotherGen
(38,054 posts)I think January 6, gutting Voting Rights, and the Overturn of Roe is present. It may turn out to be a very different midterm.
Eyeball_Kid
(7,604 posts)The 2010 midterms resulted in a big sweep of GOPers into office because Obama failed to come through with his implied promises to clean up Bush 43's Iraq mess. He never did, and Pelosi refused to push prosecutions for the war crimes committed by Bush's cronies and Bush himself. Dems got discouraged and despaired. The big turnout in '08 didn't happen again because of the enthusiasm gap.
Demsrule86
(71,542 posts)in more than 100 years has the president's party won the midterm...I think this is the year it will happen again. It happened in 1934 and in 2002
JustAnotherGen
(38,054 posts)He used all of his capital to get us one step closer to single payer/mfa. I think we will continue to push to that - if we don't lose ground next month, or in the next decade.
I will never regret voting for Obama in 2008.
I also think you are right about it happening again in 2022. 1934 - Great Depression and America chose to stay the course to keep moving forward. 2002 - A year after an act of terrorism - just like on 1/6/21.
summer_in_TX
(4,168 posts)It helps that most Dems haven't shied away from campaigning with Biden. That was widespread during 2010 and helped undermine all the Dems.
TreasonousBastard
(43,049 posts)that we elect an R or D and things don't go as we expect so in the midterms we try the other side.
That's the way it usually seems to go.
moose65
(3,454 posts)I know thats not how I approach voting. Are there really that many people out there who have that attitude? I cant wrap my head around that.
More likely to me: the voters for the party out of power are more motivated than the voters on the other side. In 2010, Dem house candidates abandoned Obama and ran from him, and people dont like candidates who do that kind of stuff. People like fighters and candidates who stick to their principles. Why would an unaffiliated voter choose a wishy washy candidate like that?
DinahMoeHum
(23,604 posts)This year, like all other years is about turning out the vote. Nothing else.
melm00se
(5,161 posts)Different candidates
Different environments
Different issues
Statistically, the President's party loses 28 House seats and 4 Senate seats at the midterms.
Since 1934, 3 House elections (1934, 1998 and 2002) and 6 Senate elections (1934, 1962, 1970, 1982, 2002 and 2018) have been exceptions.
But, as the saying goes, "that's why they play the game". Hopefully the Republicans don't gain control in either House. If they do we are going to see nothing but impeach, impeach impeach for the next 2 years.
Pepsidog
(6,365 posts)PortTack
(35,820 posts)DFW
(60,182 posts)pwb
(12,662 posts)Roevember !!!!!!!
NoMoreRepugs
(12,076 posts)LymphocyteLover
(9,847 posts)bucolic_frolic
(55,133 posts)Maggiemayhem
(890 posts)catbyte
(39,152 posts)on the ballot which was passed by a about 63% of the vote. The entire state was redrawn to be more fair, so it'll be interesting to see what happens in November. The GQP has had a stranglehold on the state legislature since 2011 when they gerrymandered the crap out of us. The Independent Redistricting Commission (2 Democrats, 2 RepubliQans, 2 Independents) completed their work in time for election, so we'll see what happens. At least the legislature can't draw the lines ever again.