The Guardian's odds chart for the UK Tory leadership race...

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

[secondwind]

1. Sunak over 50% is excellent news.........

[Delphinus]

2. I can't

believe Bojo is listed as a possibility. What is happening over there?

[Sympthsical]

4. The scandals that brought him down might not have risen to the level

It just hit at just the right time. Violating Covid restrictions was practically a sport here in America for our political class, and none of our politicians were kicked out of office for it. Justin Trudeau has had his share of sexual assault and harassment issues in his political orbit, and he's still chugging along.

It seems like they figured out the answer to, "Well, can't be any worse than Johnson, can it?"

Whoopsie.

Either way, Labour's basically measuring drapes at this point.

[edhopper]

5. Not if the Torries

hold off the election until 2024 or 2025. A lot can happen in two years.
2010 here showed us voters have a very, very short memory. It's no different in the UK.

[iemanja]

3. This oddsmaker has Sunak with a much higher chance than Johnson

Picture from the Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/10/21/uk-pm-race-sunak-mordaunt-boris/