Walker has had an unwavering 2-point lead 49-47* for MONTHS
Last edited Sat Oct 29, 2022, 07:13 PM - Edit history (1)
Based on whose poll? What questions were asked?
Data is not stagnant.
I no longer believe the poll at all.
From what I have seen people are appalled at Walker — they are voting BECAUSE he’s literally an insult to their intelligence.
As a result, I’m convinced not only is Walker’s poll bogus but many of the other stagnant polls are as well.
*Typo I initially wrote 42
= new reply since forum marked as read
Gavin Newsom Has Reason To Worry.
JUL. 29, 2021, AT 6:00 AM
Recent polls show the race is tightening and Republican voters are more energized.
By Nathaniel Rakich and Geoffrey Skelley.
Filed under California Governor Recall.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/gavin-newsom-has-reason-to-worry/
Then when the results came in, and it was apparent to them (Not to me), that Newsom was blowing out Uncle Larry, on their podcast they made it seem like the only reason he beat Uncle Larry like a drum was because he wasn't tRump? Really? No governor is perfect, but they acted like all Newsom does is sit around and not do anything for California, who has one of the biggest economies (top 5) in the world.
I can't speak for how they viewed other races then to now, but as a life long Californian, 538 can kiss my grits
So I am a real skeptic when it comes to polls. Skeptic is probably too “soft” as a term.
Pollsters rely on many points of contact with the American citizenry, but they still have NOT determined a way to contact them with the avalanche of cell phones - - land lines were, for DECADES, the preferred point of contact. This is not to say that polling is obsolete. This is not to say that they are inaccurate all the time. This is just to remind everyone that they had to really start scrambling recently (….like for the last 10-15 years…..) to determine new ways to get reliable information.
Combine technology with algorithms and social media nightmares/skewed biases/misinformation, etc. and points of contact with likely voters have become, in my mind, less and less reliable.
Polls seem to be much more fluid, and ever-changing now.
And, of course, all polls are paid for by some entity. Follow the money trail. That alone often explains the “results” or “projections” or “predictions.”
I feel like we’re in for a really wild ride this mid-term. I’ll be up all night - - reading, listening, analyzing, and HOPEFULLY not “wringing my hands” - - 
And may we all join hands and HOPE that ALL of our institutions hold this time.
Cheers, friends! We’ve got this!!!
