Finally. Some nonpartisan senate polls, and they're pretty good...

[Demsrule86]

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/10/31/2132506/-Finally-Some-nonpartisan-senate-polls-and-they-re-pretty-good

[cilla4progress]

1. Not seeing FL

on Kos site either...

Or OH?

I'm expecting some heartbreakers...

[Demsrule86]

27. Val as more money but Rubio is ahead by as much as 11 points...but that is another one I can't

predict...there are other variables.

[certainot]

32. predictable- Republicans wouldn't have a chance without their massive RW radio advantage -take Fla

where there are about 30 exLimbaugh stations and 20 piggyback and get the endorsement of 5 Fla university sports programs.

look at a few more important states
from fakenewsradio.org

FLORIDA 20 Florida 10, Florida St. 4 Miami 2, South Florida 2, Central Florida 2
GEORGIA 14 Georgia 7, Georgia Tech 5, Georgia Southern 2
MICHIGAN 19 Michigan St. 11, Michigan 7, Western Michigan 1
NORTH CAROLINA 16 North Carolina 8, North Carolina State 3, Duke 3, East Carolina 2
OHIO 10 Ohio St. 6, Toledo 1, Dayton 1, Bowling Green 1, Xavier 1
PENNSYLVANIA 14 Penn St. 11, Pittsburgh 2, Temple 1
WISCONSIN 3 Wisconsin 3

and there are a lot more involved than on that list, and a lot of pro teams also, supporting blowhards that deny white supremacy, racism, and helped end Roe. and of course, deny global warming.

Arizona and Az State broadcast on 5
University of Syracuse, 150 miles from the Buffalo racist mass shooting - on 9 NRA stations

[Mad_Machine76]

2. What's turnout in NV like right now?

Has EV started?

[Demsrule86]

4. No idea...but NV is essentially tied in this A+ poll and any tied race will be won by us when the

the Roe vote comes in...IMHO.

[AZSkiffyGeek]

10. It started last week

Sounds like Dems are still leading, but GOP is overperforming from past years. @RalstonReports is the best source for info, not sure where to find it outside Twitter, however.

[Demsrule86]

33. I think we keep Nevada.

[tishaLA]

11. John Ralston is probably all over this on his twitter feed

but without looking at it, I'm not sure. He's just about the only trustworthy voice on NV politics for good or ill.

[Mad_Machine76]

14. Thanks

[wryter2000]

68. I do trust him

He knows NV, and he's honest

[peggysue2]

28. Haven't checked the recent numbers but . . .

Unlike many of our Blue senate seat states, the early vote has been lagging in Nevada. Started to pick up over the weekend but there's no sign yet that this is going to be anything but a squeaker right down to the nitty-gritty.

I've been consistently supporting Fetterman with monthly and intermittant donations in my home state. But I've also sent Catherine Cortez Mastro two modest donations bc her numbers have been the tightest in the 'must-win' slate.

We shall see but it looks to be a genuine nail biter.

[Ananda62]

30. Voted for Cortez-Masto

By mail last week. I checked Track my Ballot to make sure my ballot was accepted. I’m really worried about NV. If I go by what my neighbors say, the Rs will take the Senate and Governorship.

[peggysue2]

31. Great that you got your vote in and verified

I agree that results in NV are worrisome. Still time for Cortez Mastro to pull it out. She's been in tight races before. Let's hope the trend continues!

[Demsrule86]

45. Excellent!!!!!!!!!!!

[bucolic_frolic]

48. Laxalt has name recognition

[wryter2000]

69. Yup

His being competitive makes sense at least

[PortTack]

3. I think the senate will be fine..hoping the same for house..we'll see

[Demsrule86]

5. I still think we will win the House...We won New York 19 and that was a House seat in a red

district.

[PortTack]

7. Yes hoping for the house too!! Your +++ posts are the best!

[Demsrule86]

26. Thank you so much...I really think we may very well win it all...house and senate...

[Elessar Zappa]

8. I hope you're right!

I’ve been very discouraged by news reports lately. I hope to God that the media has to eat crow in regards to these elections.

[Demsrule86]

24. I want the media to eat crow too. I am speechless with rage over their not calling the attempted

assassination of Speaker Pelosi...what it is an assassination attempt.

[Demsrule86]

56. I am hope I am right too!

[CountAllVotes]

6. They pukes are acting like they will win

They are doing themselves in on twitter I see.

Posting pictures of a hammer and underwear as their "Halloween" costume.

It is not a Halloween costume, it is the type of sicko things that these evil SOBs always wear. for a

They think they will win?

No one is much recommending ANY of their posts on twitter I've noticed, few, very very few!

DESPICABLE LOSERS = ALL OF THEM!

[Demsrule86]

22. I wonder if they really think they will win...I mean much talk from the right about stolen elections

and the Philly thing too...about how TFG will target Philly.

[CountAllVotes]

34. I really don't care what they *think*

They are so stupid they do not *think*.

I pay no heed to the words and actions of a batch of groomed idiots!

When they Count All of the Votes up they will find that they are indeed losers, losers losers losers!

They can eat their own all they like.

That includes the stinking underwear and their fucking hammers!

The SHAME of beating up an old man is eating them and their two-bit party up alive!

[Demsrule86]

57. The pugs are despicable...but my point was may they have a pretty good idea they will lose and

this is all about crying that the election was stolen again.

[bucolic_frolic]

51. Hammer and sickle is their real logo

[CountAllVotes]

67. +!

k/r

[tulipsandroses]

9. It is shameful that Herschel is within striking distance

GOP has no shame, no morals, and recruiting Herschel just shows their racism and hypocrisy. I am so disgusted. And then have the nerve to tell us that “they are scared that little black children will want to follow his foot steps into the Republican Party. Never mind that the man is a liar, a dead beat, violent, stupid and cares nothing about the citizens of Georgia, especially black folks in GA.

Hopefully we wrap this up and prevent a run off. I’ve had enough of this tomfoolery.

[Mad_Machine76]

15. Pretty much only because of it being Georgia

Walker would be toast in any other state. But Warnock is still obviously doing well if he's notching ahead there. Sucks that Abrams isn't doing as well against Kemp.

[Demsrule86]

20. It is close enough with the turnout that when the Roe vote comes in she could win. That is my

hope. You won't get better abortion laws if you keep a GOP governor.

[Mad_Machine76]

23. The polling hasn't been great

but I would love to see her become Georgia's Governor!

[Demsrule86]

59. I think it could happen when the Roe vote comes in...I hope so.

[Demsrule86]

21. Walker is as dumb as a rock and violent too...I never would have believed the GOP would be OK

with a guy who threatened his wife with a gun.

[Mad_Machine76]

25. Post-Trump

they seem to be cool with anything their candidates do/have done as long as they win.

[Demsrule86]

35. That is very true...a guy like Walker would never make it out of a primary on our side.

[Leith]

41. Huh

A guy like Walker would never make it INTO a primary on our side.

I feel just a bit sorry for him. He has brain injuries and he needs help.

[Demsrule86]

44. My point is if by some miracle he made it into a primary as an independent or whatever...he would

never never never win.

[Leith]

46. Yes, I agree

I just took it a step further.

[Demsrule86]

58. We would never have a candidate like this. In fact in some Southern state we had a bad candidate

and he was forced out even though it means a loss...

[Samrob]

64. Please stop slandering rocks! nt

[republianmushroom]

12. LIKE

[Demsrule86]

18. Thanks...people don't understand that some of the polls take money from the same folks who

who fund the GOP...for example Real Clear Politics does and so do the Trafalgar and Insider Advantage.

[moonscape]

13. Thanks for this. I admit to being

disspirited, that if the poll flooding and msm narrative are orchestrated that it has worked on me.

Voting in person as I have every election, except brief years living abroad in my youth, because I’m old school and embrace the ritual. Being in a deep blue CA area where one is in and out of polling place in 10 min makes it easy. Everyone everywhere should have it this easy.

Resolved to be more positive and hopeful this last week. We’ll see if I can pull it off

[Demsrule86]

16. Good for you! Listen I don't have crystal ball but I see reason to be hopeful and after years of

GOTV, I know that people who think they will lose don't bother voting...the feet to the fire and making people vote because they are behind is pure bullshit.

[crickets]

17. Thank you. K&R

[FelineOverlord]

19. Nevada early voting

Link to tweet

[Demsrule86]

29. I think we are going to keep Nevada...Roe Roe Roe your vote.

[bringthePaine]

36. unbelievable! Walker is a turd supported by shitheads...refuKKKchickenshits all...

[Warpy]

37. Laxalt might win Nevada, where the family name carries a lot of weight

That shouldn't be so, but most people think the whole family is the same as the original guy who made their reputation. They need to look at their own kids/parents to realize that's absolutely untrue. But they won't.

[Ananda62]

60. 14 members of the Laxalt family

Endorse Cortez-Masto.
“Fourteen members of Republican Senate candidate and former Attorney General Adam Laxalt’s family announced Wednesday that they would collectively endorse his Democratic opponent, incumbent Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, in the heated race for Nevada’s U.S. Senate seat.”
https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/fourteen-members-of-laxalt-family-endorse-democratic-rival-cortez-masto-in-senate-race

[Demsrule86]

63. I didn't know that ...how embarrassing for this guy.

[Warpy]

66. Yeah, I know the family can't stand him

but look at Gosar, same scenario, family making ads warning people not to vote for him and he's been sent back twice, I think.

[Demsrule86]

65. But she has the incumbent advantage...and he is a pro-life asshole.

[yankee87]

38. The Rie vote

Like been said many times before, people don’t answer their phones and the pollsters don’t know how to measure the Roe vote. It’s going to be Blue tsunami.

[calimary]

40. Hope you're right.

[Demsrule86]

43. + 100000

[Butterflylady]

47. Yes. I don't care if there nonpartisan or what

Polls i this climate are not correct. They need a new method of polling because phoning is a thing of the past.

[Demsrule86]

55. I don't answer the phone if I don't know who it is...most don't.

[SheltieLover]

39. Kicking for visibility

[Demsrule86]

42. Thanks Sheltie!!!!!

[scipan]

49. Pollsters ' ratings, at aggregators like 538, use only final polls.

A lot of partisan pollsters take advantage of this.

[Demsrule86]

54. This is very true...many of these polls are now right wing...Wick, Insider Advantage etc.

[wryter2000]

70. Howard Dean says we'll pick up seats in both houses

That was at least a week ago. I don't know if his opinion has changed

[Sympthsical]

50. Ooh, we're friends with NYT again

Seriously, people were collapsing in the streets calling NYT right-wing and rending garments during their last poll.

So this is an amusing round about.

Anyway, these are decent polls, and I think the numbers are roughly where you'd figure they'd be. Still close, still room for error. It's really just going to come down to who votes, but the numbers are more encouraging than not.

The one exception I'd make is that Pennsylvania poll was mostly done before the debate. So, I don't think the margin is that, but I do think Fetterman is still probably slightly ahead.

When did early voting start? If before the debate, probably to the good then.

[Demsrule86]

52. The Ohio/PA NYT polling before was incredibly right-wing...they spent most of the time

defending their findings...but now you will see them coming home because they don't want to besmirch their reputation...when the Roe vote comes in, we will win. And those poll liars will say it was unprecedented. It wasn't. It has been clear since Kansas and New York 19...but the media is not lefty in the least...quite the opposite.

[Demsrule86]

53. Fetterman is around five point ahead without the Roe vote...

[Emile]

61. Where are we at in Wisconsin?

[Demsrule86]

62. All over the place...some say Ron is up 1 and some say 4...but remember Obama was down

there and no polls after the visit...so who knows? And hard-hitting ads are up showing ronJon's plans for social security and Medicare. I also think we have Roe vote in Wisconsin. It is hard to beat an incumbent.