CNN story headline: "The bottom is dropping out of the 2022 election for Democrats." Fuck CNN.

[CurtEastPoint]

Last edited Wed Nov 2, 2022, 08:08 AM - Edit history (1)

MY APOLOGIES to anyone who is pissed I posted this w/o comments, details, etc. My intent no matter how bad the news might be for our side, the mainstream media delights in shoving inflammatory headlines to the front page. That's all I meant.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/01/politics/democratic-seats-jeopardy-gallup-polling/index.html


With just a week left until the 2022 midterm elections, the political environment appears to be eroding rapidly for Democrats – especially in areas where the party has long held sway.

“The scariest Halloween reality for House Democrats is the number of seats President [Joe] Biden carried comfortably in 2020 that are at genuine risk a week out,” wrote Dave Wasserman, the House editor at the Cook Report with Amy Walter, a nonpartisan campaign tipsheet.

To that end, Wasserman shifted race ratings for 10 Democratic-held seats into more jeopardy – including three apiece in the Democratic redoubts of California and New York.

On the same day Wasserman made his changes, Gallup released a report that suggests the political winds are all blowing in Republicans’ direction.

The numbers are daunting for Democrats:

* Just 40% of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing as president.

* Only 17% express satisfaction with how things are going in the US.

* 49% say the state of the economy is “poor.”

* A meager 21% approve of the job the Democratic-led Congress is doing.

[gab13by13]

1. Normally I would say fuck Gallup,

but now I am afraid to say that.

[BigmanPigman]

2. Ignore the polls AND fuck CNN!

Kill 2 birds with 1 stone.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1175668

Link to tweet

?s=20&t=UXvWZWKF4sMNBKlLjBfa9Q

[SheltieLover]

9. This!👆

[Cha]

32. TY BP..

[FloridaBlues]

3. It hard to ignore this white noise but try. I really can't watch to much cable

Especially this coming week. The voters might surprise you next week with solid Dem support.

[Docreed2003]

4. Maybe so...perhaps the election will go as they say...

But it won't be so until the last vote is cast. We still have the power to rebuke this red wave.

Ever since the last election, we've heard nothing but "dems chances are dim", "the GOP will retake the House" and on and on. The media has been complicit in the narrative that "Democrats haven't done enough" and largely ignored the incredible successes of the Biden administration. If Trump had accomplished a fraction of what Biden has done, we would have never heard the end of it on the airwaves.

If they win, I fear for what will come, but they haven't won yet. The fight goes on...

[msongs]

5. wasserman is god walking here on DU. eff him too? nt

[walkingman]

10. I know it can get worse but I wonder what worse would be like? Last time I felt like this was

the day after the election in '20. I just could not believe it.

[LenaBaby61]

22. IF this country falls into the sewer ....

It's not coming back out. That's the reality. The GQP will pack legislatures across the country picking electors for not only their red states but for blue states also, and we in blue states won't be able to stop them because the GQP doesn't believe in states rights, except for RED states ....

[onecaliberal]

7. Turn it off.

It’s soulless.

[Lovie777]

8. Oh noes....

It's gonna be even worst on 11/2/2022 from corporate media...,,

Good news tho, NV is still in the mix....

And so are others.

[LenaBaby61]

23. REALLY THIS 👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻

[brooklynite]

11. Have a briefing with Wasserman tomorrow...

If his analysis is true, blaming CNN for reporting it isn't accomplishing anything.

[SheltieLover]

12. Not buying their doom & gloom for Dems.

[Fullduplexxx]

13. Right wing cnn sings doom and gloom for the dems

[triron]

14. Never underestimate the stupidity of the American voters.

[triron]

15. 21% approve on congress? Good luck with repukes.

[BlueTsunami2018]

16. Historically, that's what happens.

The only anomaly in at least fifty years was Dubya’s first midterm. And that was an extraordinary circumstance with 9/11 and the constant terror “alerts”.

[iemanja]

33. And the 1998 midterms

When people were pissed at the Republicans over Clinton's impeachment. But yeah, people seem to be ignoring basic historical reality. Hating the media doesn't change the headwinds.

[Deminpenn]

18. All cable news networks want a horse race

because no one times in for a blowout.

Wasserman's a good analyst, but shifting races from solid to lean doesn't mean the candidate ahead won't stay ahead.

Further, Wasserman's has PA-7, 8 and 17 as toss ups, yet the last poll on 8 had Cartwright at 50%, PA 7 Wild is in the increasingly Dem LV and PA 17 is my district. Schaffer the R candidate already lost his race for state Senate in 2018 in a district that is completely contained within PA-17. The district lost a solid R component of its previous iteration and gained area in Allegheny Co.

Yet there is no mention of PA-10 where the current incumbent is Scott Perry, a J6th conspirator who has not won his elections by large margins.

[Turbineguy]

19. And now from our reporter on the scene....

"Blood, lotsa blood!"

[LenaBaby61]

25. THIS is what the so-called liberal but is NOT liberal at all mostly corporate media wants ....

Yep, the so-called Liberal yet is mostly corporate, reich-winged, greedy for ad dollars and clicks they miss since fatso isn't eating document in the White House still ....

[Justice]

20. Authored by Chris Cillizza - key fact OP leaves out.

[hlthe2b]

37. Ding Ding Ding. Cillizza. Enough said.

[brooklynite]

40. Chris Cillizza seems to be the Steve Kornacki of CNN

They “know” (without watching) that he’s a biased voice.

[dsc]

48. We know he is biased due to this

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2009/08/reporter_apologizes_for_kind_o.html

Had he done this to a similarly high ranking GOP politiican he would have been fired, plain and simple.

[hlthe2b]

50. Yup

[hlthe2b]

49. No. Some of us have followed and read his crap for many years.

There is no reason to believe he's actually become competent after all these years.

[mcar]

51. You mean the guy who referred to HRC as

"Old B!tch?"

Yeah, I'd say he's a biased voice.

[onenote]

21. Blaming CNN for reporting Wasserman's analysis.

Classic DU head in the sand behavior.

[budkin]

24. Cannot wait to see the MSM eat crow

After this election shatters their bullshit narrative.

[milestogo]

26. The bottom is dropping out of CNN, and I approve of them 0%.

[Ferrets are Cool]

27. WHEN the Democrats win both houses next week, CNN and others will conveniently forget about

how wrong they were.

[Polybius]

30. Do you really believe we will win both?

The House too?

[Ferrets are Cool]

43. Of course. Why wouldn't I?

[Polybius]

62. There's now an 85% chance that we lose the House

To put this in perspective, that's a 15% chance that we win. Trump had a 29% chance of winning in 2016 and won, but that's far greater than 15%.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/house/?cid=rrpromo

[Ferrets are Cool]

63. I don't subscribe to the doom and gloom.

Come back next week and say I told you so.

[Polybius]

64. The chances are just too large to ignore

It's not about doom and gloom, it's about reality. Overcoming 85% would be a massive upset.

[Ferrets are Cool]

65. OK

[BlackSkimmer]

42. You think we're going to win both? nt

[Demsrule86]

59. Yes I do.

[GoodRaisin]

28. But are polls a real thing anymore?

Who still answers their phones when an unknown caller lights up?

[bigtree]

29. um, none of the things listed have anything to do with the individual races

...what an absolute crock of doo.

Simon Rosenberg @SimonWDC 5h
Know everything is supposed to suck for Dems right now, but here's the early vote so far (D/R):

GA 50-42
IA 59-37
MI 51-28
NC 50-43
NV 51-43
OH 44-40
PA 73-24
VA 55-30
WA 57-31
WI 39-32

Doesn't mean we win, but seeing lots of Dem intensity so far. That's good.

Link to tweet

[Polybius]

31. Democrats ALWAYS vote earlier

Republicans come out in drives on Election Day itself. If GA is that close now, we're doomed.

[Ellipsis]

36. I don't believe Georgia breaks out their votes by dems and repubs

This is the current early vote right now... about 6 million people voted in Georgia in 2020.


Total Early Votes: 1,810,427
In-Person Early Votes: 1,638,287
Mail Ballots Returned: 172,140
Mail Ballots Requested: 274,914

[bigtree]

53. you can look at by county and get even more from ev totals

Click through the tabs in the graphics to see more voter turnout data, including turnout for Black and white voters as well as by county, plus how the early vote so far compares to total votes in 2018.

https://www.gpb.org/news/2022/10/30/see-who-voting-early-in-georgias-2022-election

"So far, early voting in Georgia has been marked by a higher share of older voters and Black voters than similar times in previous elections."

Approximately 27% of new voters are Black, 52% are women and 49% registered in 2022.

[bigtree]

52. look at the numbers. At this point in 2018 Rs had 300k national vote lead. Today Ds lead by 2.6m.

...Democrats up, republican vote DOWN.

Georgia voters continue 'record pace' of early voting in 2022 midterm election

Secretary of State Office Chief Operating Officer says over 1.6 million Georgians have voted - more than 1.5 million in-person and over 155,000 via absentee ballot.

As of Friday, the number of early voters was 36% higher than the same time during 2018's midterm election.

"One in five active voters have already gotten their vote in, and we will hit the 2-million-mark next week," said Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger

According to the Georgia Secretary of State, the counties with the highest vote turnout are Greene (34.6%), Rabun (33.5%), and Towns (33.5%). Tift County has the lowest vote turnout as of Monday, at 20.37%.

https://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/georgia-voters-record-early-voting-2022-midterm-election

...posting fears and cynicism without any actual facts backing it up isn't the way to promote votes.

[Polybius]

54. Early voting was small in 2018

How does 2020 compare? It is a fact that Democrats love early voting far more than Republicans. Republicans love voting on Election Day far more than Democrats.

[bigtree]

58. every report out there says we're outstripping 2020

...this is tiresome, but let me do the work for you.

from the article I posted above:

"The Abrams campaign touted high Black turnout thus far, with about 35.5% of the advance ballots coming from Black voters. In 2020, when Biden won, that was 33% through one week of advance voting. In 2018, when Abrams lost, it was 31%. Groh-Wargo highlighted Black men, as well, saying the campaign’s analysis shows that about 97,000 Black men have voted already; that was about 45,000 at this point during Abrams’ losing effort."
https://www.fox5atlanta.com/news/georgia-voters-record-early-voting-2022-midterm-election


Georgia early midterms voting so far surpassing 2020 presidential election
With less than three weeks until the midterm elections, Georgians are already casting their ballots at a fast pace -- with vote counts on Tuesday surpassing 2020 presidential election records for the second day of early voting, surging to nearly twice the early vote totals of 2018 at the same point.

As Georgia entered its third day of early in-person voting on Wednesday, over 291,700 people have voted -- 268,050 in person and 23,690 absentee. In 2020, the early vote numbers after the second day were 266,403, and in 2018 they were 147,289, according to the secretary of state's office.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/georgia-early-midterms-voting-so-far-surpassing-2020-presidential-election/ar-AA139yaH

...any questions?

[Jose Garcia]

55. The thing you have to consider about GA is that even though Republicans are voting,

they may not be voting straight party. There is likely to be a significant number of people who will vote for Kemp but skip the Senate race as they dislike both candidates.

[Polybius]

56. I think GA goes to a runoff for their Senate race

I think Walker loses in December though. But yeah, I'm afraid that Kemp wins with well over 50%.

[bigtree]

60. increase in black voters to the polls could close the gap

...with black residents making up most of the new voters, and the surge of those same voters we're seeing in the early vote.

I think it's a 5 point race in the polls and Abrams has the momentum, benefiting even more because of the interest in the other races.

[uponit7771]

35. +1,

[iemanja]

34. If it's such trash, why are you posting it?

Or do you all enjoy complaining about the media that much? It's gotten really old.

[hlthe2b]

39. Some of these posts serve only to increase anxiety, especially if they are not put in context

or the OP does not mention dissenting opinions, polls, or sources. While I think that is generally innocent and do so with the OP here, DUers should note the influx of posters (even those who may not be recent registrants) who are bringing this stuff here and repeatedly posting for just that reason--to demoralize.

[Vinca]

38. At the same time they report the record-breaking numbers when it comes to

early voting and it's common knowledge Democrats favor voting that way. I think the corporate media is just drumming up a story and you need controversy for a good story. Then, on election night, they get another "bombshell" story when it's a Democratic rout.

[vercetti2021]

41. Setting up for fraud claims

That's what it really is. If we trounce these assholes into the dirt. They'll claim they were ahead in the polls and only fraud could have kept them from winning outright like the "media" predicted.

[Hugin]

45. BINGO!

I can’t tell you how happy I am that you see it too. :eyes watering a little:

[vercetti2021]

47. Of course I see it

My entire household agrees they're gonna try to rat fuck it with voter fraud and cheating claims

[Hugin]

44. They are setting up for all of the ridiculous challenges.

They have to make it seem like there’s a lopsided victory.

I’m not sure that the media outlets are the source or if they are just passing on the Republican/Kremlin misinformation.

[Emile]

46. This should embolden Dems to get out and vote.

[Demsrule86]

57. Generic ballot has Democrats up by 5.

[Mad_Machine76]

61. Does this sound like bottom falling out for Dems:

https://democraticunderground.com/100217311360


I don't get it.