Fetterman hold edge over Oz after Pennsylvania debate...five points.

[Demsrule86]

Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D) is still holding an edge over Republican Mehmet Oz in their Senate race, according to a new poll that follows the only general election debate last week in which Fetterman struggled at times to answer questions as he recovers from his stroke.

A Monmouth University survey released Wednesday showed that 48 percent of respondents said they would definitely or probably vote for Fetterman, while 44 percent said they would definitely or probably vote for Oz.

Fetterman also appears to have a slightly higher ceiling for support, as 54 percent said they would definitely or probably not vote for Oz and only 49 percent said they would definitely or probably not vote for Fetterman.

Fetterman’s support in recent Monmouth polling has held steady, while Oz has made small but steady gains. Oz’s overall support has increased from 39 percent in September, and his “definite” support has increased by 7 points since early October.

Take heart folks...all the usual parameters are pretty meaningless this election with Juanuary 6, Roe, and Entitlements on the chopping block.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3715805-fetterman-holds-edge-over-oz-after-pennsylvania-debate-poll/

[Joe Cool]

1. I keep harping on this point on DU.

There are as many or even more Fetterman compared to Oz signs in many red areas of Pennsylvania. These are areas in which Democratic signs are sometimes outnumbered by 5 to 1 if not worse in past election years.

Maybe folk hero isn't accurate for him, but Fetterman is definitely some type of folk figure in Pennsylvania. He grew up in central PA, went to college in eastern PA, and lives in western PA. He knows the state.

[Demsrule86]

11. As Biden said...Fetterman is Pennsylvania

[dutch777]

2. I wasn't real sure his debating Oz was a good idea but I give him points for honesty and guts

And I think others do too and not just Dems. I was voting for him anyway but I know Republicans that are real torn. Some have pointed out they really don't want Oz but they fault Fetterman for poor judgement in not dealing with known health issues before it lead to his stroke. I like the guy but given that he seeking a seat in the most powerful legislative body on the planet I would be lying to say the issue about bad judgement provides me with some worry too. But I suspect in all of this he has learned alot and remains the best candidate for the people of PA.

[Polybius]

3. Isn't 44%-48% four points?

Your title says five.

[Demsrule86]

12. rounded up...what does it matter...it is still a lead and except for right wing garbage polls, he

has been ahead.

[Demsrule86]

13. Here- a big who cares. Fetterman is and has been ahead.

[Polybius]

15. Why do you say who cares?

If something is wrong, is it alright to point out?

[budkin]

4. BUT 538!!!!

Seriously... ignore every single poll and GOTV!

[PRETZEL]

5. What I don't see happening is a lot of split ticket voting

john has, imho, a much greater advantage given Josh Shapiro's lead. I just don't see much of a split ticket voting here.

I don't know about the other parts of the state but the Oz (and pretty much all the R's) going all in on being "moderate, bipartisan" politicians. It would be nice if the Fetterman campaign (as well as other D's) getting the message of disingenuousness between what they said in the beginning of the campaign and what they're trying to sell now.

[Polybius]

6. Except for in GA

I think Kemp and Warnock both win.

[PRETZEL]

8. That's quite possible

maybe even probable.

[FakeNoose]

9. Exactly right - there's no reason NOT to vote straight Dem ticket

... unless you're a Repuke who refuses to vote for Mastriano. There are a few of those this year.

If they won't pull the lever for Mastriano, why are they willing to support Oz? It boggles my mind, but some of them are doing exactly that. There's no question in my mind that John Fetterman will be our next Senator. But I think he'll win by fewer votes than Shapiro will.

Get used to it: "Senator John Fetterman" and "Governor Josh Shapiro"!

[PRETZEL]

10. I agree that josh's margin will be bigger than Fetterman's

that'll be the split ticket, independent voting block where that'll happen. But that block I don't think will be close enough to cover the R's who will decide to sit out instead of voting for Shapiro/Oz.

My personal opinion, in the analysis of this election, I wouldn't be surprised that there were more R's deciding to sit this one out.

[triron]

7. 5? Seems like 4.

[Deminpenn]

14. This race has been stable for months

The ridiculous amount of money (about 70M) spent by Oz/McConnell has succeeded in driving up Fetterman's negatives, but hasn't really done much to boost Oz' numbers. He's been in the upper 30s, low 40s and stayed there.

[Just_Vote_Dem]

16. K&R for a true and blue Democrat!

Oh, and you too Demsrule