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Fri Nov 4, 2022, 09:41 PM

Any DUers in Katie Porter's district?

And what is the word on the ground there?

Will redistricting have an effect?

8 replies, 717 views

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Response to blm (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2022, 09:43 PM

1. ..Not in her district, but I love her.

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Response to whathehell (Reply #1)

Fri Nov 4, 2022, 09:46 PM

2. Me, too. Which is why I'm asking.

Republican Party donors surely must want her gone.

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Response to blm (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2022, 09:50 PM

3. Word on the ground is that it's a dead heat -- hard to believe until you realize her district was

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Response to blm (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2022, 10:01 PM

4. I Am Literally A 5 Minute Walk Away From Her District

Thanks to Gerrymandering, I am carved out into her neighboring District. My Representative is repub Michelle Steel..

Katie is AWESOME, and it would be a Tragedy if she lost.

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Response to SoCalDavidS (Reply #4)

Fri Nov 4, 2022, 10:03 PM

5. Truly

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Response to blm (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2022, 10:30 PM

6. Not in her district. But I'm in SoCal. negative Katie porter ads running here. Posted earlier:

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Response to blm (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2022, 11:01 PM

7. She was not gerrymandered

That is not how California's redistricting works. She is running in a district that is largely new to her and much more coastal (i.e. Laguna, Newport and Huntington beaches). It is a more affluent district than her old Ca-45, likely less diverse and is about D+1.5.

On the upside, analysis shows that if this district as drawn now existed, Clinton would have beaten Trump by 7.3 and Biden by 10.7 but Newsom only defeated recall by 3.2 here.

Baugh is kind of an uninspired and lackluster career politico but the inflationary environment gives him a decent chance. This race will likely be tight and the outcome may not be known for 2 weeks or so after election day.

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Response to blm (Original post)

Fri Nov 4, 2022, 11:34 PM

8. The new district areas are definitely not friendly for her. Those

are established, affluent old style type Orange County Republicans. We’ll see.

Plus, she’s gotten a rep as being combative with a couple Democrats. I think some texts were leaked and she was fighting with her* about Irvine cops and the politician’s motives for showing up at events. It was a weird look for her.

She is a formidable tactician but has made a couple political mistakes by endorsing someone like Nina Turner. *edit: shortly after that, fights started at one of her townhalls, so that seemed to attract the RW fringe.

*looks like the text fight was with the Irvine mayor, but Katie was attacking Irvine police.

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