Nevada Is Going to Be OK. Good News is Everywhere. Take a Deep Breath, We Got This.

[Demsrule86]

Jon Ralston, a giant mail dump came in last night and Dems crushed the R’s this time, adding a nice healthy padding of early votes to the pile.


https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/11/6/2134087/-Nevada-Is-Going-to-Be-OK-Good-News-is-Everywhere-Take-a-Deep-Breath-We-Got-This

[Chicago1980]

1. How soon after the polls close will republicans these ballots are fraudulent?

[Metaphorical]

2. Milliseconds, most likely

But only if the ballots are from Vegas or Reno.

[Demsrule86]

6. Interesting...

[AllaN01Bear]

45. the orange pumpkin already is.

[Demsrule86]

3. Ah probably before the polls close...they can see the handwriting on the wall. Today in Cuyahoga

Country Ohio-a Democratic county- they changed a bunch of polling locations...four days before an election and the Ohio election website is currently down...or was the last time I checked. They may know things won't go as they hoped already...

[triron]

4. At that time D advantage was only 1%, now it has grown to 2%.

[TheBlackAdder]

55. 30% is a big OTHER. What's up with that?

[wryter2000]

5. Thank you

I trust Jon Ralston. If we keep NV, we are in good shape.

[Demsrule86]

7. Ralston will reevaluate tomorrow sounds promising.

[Demsrule86]

9. That is so true!! Ralston is the expert.

[BlueCheeseAgain]

15. No pundit understands a state better than Ralston understands Nevada.

Also, this year Nevada actually accepts ballots that are postmarked by Election Day and arrive within four days of the election. So hopefully there are more mail ballots coming soon.

[Demsrule86]

24. I hope we bury the GOP.

[ananda]

50. Deep, very deep in the ground.

!!!

[PortTack]

8. Yippie skippy! That means at least 51 senate seats!!

[Demsrule86]

10. I am psyched for sure.

[PortTack]

63. Me too

[phoenix75]

11. Go Nevada!

👍

[Demsrule86]

22. Go Nevada!

[Gore1FL]

12. I hope you are right.

I also hope that you have me on ignore and don't see this post.

[Demsrule86]

21. Why would I have you on ignore? I have nothing against you.

[Gore1FL]

23. I feel like you do. nt

[Demsrule86]

26. I am so srry if I ever made you think that. I don't at all. If I missed some replies I have been ill

Covid complications...pneumonia, A-Fib...and a minor heart attack. I tire easily. I am doing better now. Please believe me I read your posts and like you just fine.

[Gore1FL]

27. Then I apologize. nt

[Demsrule86]

29. You have no reason to apologize. I am the one who is sorry. I felt terrible.

[Gore1FL]

33. Then I will start with a clean slate, if you will.

[Demsrule86]

35. I would really like that. Thank you. Again I am sorry.

[sheshe2]

34. You have been sick?

I am so sorry, Demsrule.

Please don't overdo it. Take time for you.

[Demsrule86]

37. I had blood clots, covid pneumonia, A-Fib and a heart attack luckily in the ER. I am better.

But it was rough.

[electric_blue68]

47. Wow, how awful! Bit by bit to better health again...

My uncle had a heart attack (in his 50's) while he was at the dentist!
Stronger than yours. He lived another 40 years!

[JudyM]

48. Whoa. Glad you are on the other side of that!

[Demsrule86]

49. Doing better!

[Demsrule86]

31. You have been here forever. When I came you probably don't remember but I was intimidated

By the site and you were very kind to me...told me how to do stuff.

[Polybius]

44. You don't even have me on ignore!

Don't worry, I'm not posting any more bad news until after the election, and hopefully by that time the only news will be good.

[Demsrule86]

51. Of course not... no fun to talk to only those who agree with me! Although every once in a while...

We do agree! I only have one poster on ignore. He pm'd me and demanded I put him on ignore. I have no idea what I did to offend him. But of course I did as he asked.

[Polybius]

57. Same, I never put anyone on ignore

Yeah, we're agreeing on PA again. I just posted my Senate picks.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100217327262

[Demsrule86]

58. I saw that...we agree in this instance. I believe Fetterman wins .

I know you want the best for Democrats tomorrow...I never doubt that.

[Polybius]

60. Thank you so much

How much do you think Fetterman wins by? I think it could be 6. There's been huge turnout for Democrats in PA.

[texasfiddler]

13. Wouldn't it be terrible if rain/snow came on Tuesday and limited the rural Nov. 8th vote?

Just a thought in my head.

[Demsrule86]

19. Awful really hehe (not really)

[NameAlreadyTaken]

46. We do have snow forecast for Tuesday.

Fortunately we've already voted.

[inthewind21]

62. Funny you say that

Because that is EXACTLY what is happening. I live in N. Reno, my b/f lives south in Rural magaland Douglas County. And hoo boy did it let loose last night and it's supposed to continue through Wednesday night. Last nights show, crazy stupid wind, mixed with a down pour then came the snow and a power outage in N Reno. And we have 2 more days of it coming.

[herding cats]

14. With full solidarity. I'm still making calls and busting booty.

I'm one of those who overreacts to fear by fighting harder. I know others it suppresses but not me. I'm wired weird.

I'm energized and working my tush off!

We will win this if we vote!

[Demsrule86]

18. I am working hard too.

[Quixote1818]

16. Betting sites are yawning at this news. I wish I understood more about this. nt

[Demsrule86]

17. Ralston is the expert on Nevada. If he says tomorrow that we are OK, take it

to the bank.

[Quixote1818]

20. I just looked at Predict it again and there is suddenly movement

Laxalt has dropped 10cents.

[Ananda62]

42. I'm finally starting to see

Anti-Laxalt ads here in Vegas. Everything I’ve seen to date has been anti-Cortez Masto.

[Demsrule86]

52. Good news!

[Iris]

25. Can mail-in ballots be counted before election day?

How do they know they're democrat?

[Demsrule86]

28. He knows where the Democratic vote is, but I have no idea, he has a site. It should be posted

tomorrow.

[LymphocyteLover]

41. Some states or local offices give out info on the party affiliaton of returned ballots

[phoenix75]

30. Rude Awakening Awaits

I believe the highly paid polling "experts" have totally underestimated the enormity and enthusiasm of the women's vote and the youth vote. But on Wednesday morning they will be believers! Go Nevada! Lead us to a blue wave!

[LymphocyteLover]

32. Yes, praying this is so

[Demsrule86]

40. Me too.

[Quixote1818]

36. Dems have also had a strong push pointing out Democracy is at risk that past few days

In any very close races, that may be enough to get the needed amount of people off their asses and to the ballot box.

[Demsrule86]

39. Yeah I watched the rallies and they were good.

[Demsrule86]

38. I agree. I feel we may do way better then expected.

[Demsrule86]

53. I agree completely. The idea that we don't care a out choice is ridiculous.

They are coming for birth control next.

[Demsrule86]

54. I do too. I mean we could lose. It just doesn't feel like we will.

[roamer65]

56. I think we are going to crush Repukes in Michigan.

Also Prop 3 will pass handily.

[Demsrule86]

59. Thank you. That is great news.

[scipan]

61. Ralston opinion piece 11/6:

U.S. Senate: Red wave or not, candidates and campaigns matter. Adam Laxalt is an abysmal candidate who has lived on his last name for credibility and fundraising since he moved here a decade ago. Anyone with an R after his or her name would be competitive this cycle, and his automaton-like performance, where he can disgorge puerile talking points to thrill the faithful and avoid any serious questioning (a candidate for governor and Senate who never debated!) has been something to behold. Laxalt’s campaign has been desultory and depressing. Cortez Masto is not exactly Rita Moreno on the campaign trail, but she has been disciplined and on message, and her media has been sharp and memorable. Laxalt may win the rurals 2-to-1 or better, but she will hold the Clark base and may even win Washoe. Prediction: Cortez Masto, 47 percent; Laxalt, 45 percent; others, 4 percent; none of the above, 4 percent.

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/crystal-ball-says-cortez-masto-hangs-on-sisolak-doesnt-and-dems-retain-two-of-three-house-seats

If you read the beginning, he is a lot less sure than this excerpt sounds. Same if you read his blog. But... his predictions have been pretty good in the past.

Bottom line: no red wave. It's on a knife edge.