Kentucky Senate seat: Booker (D) ahead of Rand Paul (R)

[DavidDvorkin]

But it's just beginning, so I'm trying not to get hoperul.

[DestinyIsles]

1. Blue mirage

it will be interesting if its closer result then people expect.

[DavidDvorkin]

4. Blue mirage is a rare thing

Pretty much everywhere, GOP areas come in first.

[Claustrum]

11. Unless they count mail-in votes first

Every state will be different.

[DavidDvorkin]

15. True.

[GreenWave]

2. Concede now Paul. It would be honorable!

[Emile]

9. I second that! LOL

[Beachnutt]

3. .

[triron]

5. Not now. Unless you're seeing a more up-to-date result than NBC

[ColinC]

6. Link?

[LAS14]

10. https://www.google.com/search?qmidterm+elections

[DavidDvorkin]

14. That's the one

That's a very nice, useful display.

[ColinC]

8. Nvm I found it

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-elections/kentucky-senate-results

[LAS14]

7. One can only dream.... nt

[AZSkiffyGeek]

12. Louisville started coming in and it flipped hard

Doubt it will stay though…

[uponit7771]

13. What if this is close or Booker wins? tia

[Beautiful Disaster]

16. If it's closeish we might be in for a good night. Booker won't win. But it could indicate something.

I remember the 2014 midterms and how Democrats underperformed expectations in senate races. I remember Virginia specifically. Mark Warner was expected to beat Ed Gillespie by a fairly comfortable margin. The state was categorized as 'Likely D' by most outlets - and the other outlet who didn't categorize it as 'Likely D' had it 'Lean D'.

Warner won but only by .8% - not even a percentage point - despite polls having him up, on average, by 9 points at the end.

It was this race I knew Democrats were in for a rough, rough night. And they were.

[nycbos]

20. Not giong to happen

[bearsfootball516]

17. Booker is not going to win, and it's not going to be close.

Don’t get me wrong, I’d love to be wrong.

[nycbos]

19. +1

[nycbos]

18. Blue mirage

Those votes are from Louisville so they are going to be heavy for Booker.

[Xavier Breath]

21. Is that what happens when two Smurfs get hitched?

Sorry

[nycbos]

23. Damn auto correct.

[DavidDvorkin]

22. And it flipped

Paul now ahead.

[Xavier Breath]

24. Well, it was a nice dream.

[DavidDvorkin]

25. Hmph.