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MoonchildCA

(1,301 posts)
Tue Nov 8, 2022, 07:58 PM Nov 2022

Exit polls are useless.

I don’t get it. They are only polling people who voted today. They will be highly skewed toward republicans. In 2020, 43% of people voted by mail, and another significant number voted early.

So, they are polling less than 50% of voters that likely lean Republican.

I’ll take them with a grain of salt, but it would be nice if they at least mentioned this in their reporting.

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Exit polls are useless. (Original Post) MoonchildCA Nov 2022 OP
I remember some exit polls include early voters back in 2020. Claustrum Nov 2022 #1
That's not true, they include early voters. tritsofme Nov 2022 #2
Good to know. MoonchildCA Nov 2022 #6
Yes, my understanding is that they are trying to be representative of all voters. tritsofme Nov 2022 #9
They include early voters. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2022 #3
Exit polls are the most reliable poll. gab13by13 Nov 2022 #4
I know in the past they've been very reliable MoonchildCA Nov 2022 #8
As stated: exit polls also factor in mail ballots & early in-person voting. Beautiful Disaster Nov 2022 #5
That's interesting. MoonchildCA Nov 2022 #7

Claustrum

(4,846 posts)
1. I remember some exit polls include early voters back in 2020.
Tue Nov 8, 2022, 08:00 PM
Nov 2022

I don't seem to see anything about that today though.

gab13by13

(21,438 posts)
4. Exit polls are the most reliable poll.
Tue Nov 8, 2022, 08:03 PM
Nov 2022

It's used when elections are monitored in 3rd world countries to verify election integrity.

MoonchildCA

(1,301 posts)
8. I know in the past they've been very reliable
Tue Nov 8, 2022, 08:12 PM
Nov 2022

…but with mail in voting so common here now, I don’t see how they can remain that way.

Someone commented they do poll mail-in votes. If so, then great. I’m happily corrected.

 

Beautiful Disaster

(667 posts)
5. As stated: exit polls also factor in mail ballots & early in-person voting.
Tue Nov 8, 2022, 08:03 PM
Nov 2022

It's a bit trickier but they will poll these people after they've voted.

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