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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsEven THE gold standard poll (Des Moines Register/Ann Selzer) was SHIT: They had Tom Miller up 16
points (49 to 33) just two weeks out:https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2022/10/25/iowa-poll-attorney-general-election-tom-miller-brenna-bird-2022/69563197007/
Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller leads challenger Brenna Bird by 16 percentage points among likely voters, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
Forty-nine percent of likely voters say they would vote for Miller, a Democrat, compared with 33% who choose Bird, a Republican. Another 5% say they would vote for someone else, 7% say they would not vote and 6% are not sure.
Miller is the longest-serving attorney general in the country and is seeking an 11th term this year. He is running on a message that he has used the law to serve ordinary Iowans through consumer protection efforts and lawsuits against opioid manufacturers.
Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller leads challenger Brenna Bird by 16 percentage points among likely voters, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
Forty-nine percent of likely voters say they would vote for Miller, a Democrat, compared with 33% who choose Bird, a Republican. Another 5% say they would vote for someone else, 7% say they would not vote and 6% are not sure.
Miller is the longest-serving attorney general in the country and is seeking an 11th term this year. He is running on a message that he has used the law to serve ordinary Iowans through consumer protection efforts and lawsuits against opioid manufacturers.
he has very likely lost
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-iowa-attorney-general.html
Rob Sand, the only other statewide IA Dem left (and basically the main hope going forward for Governor or US Senator atm), is clinging on for dear life:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-iowa-auditor.html
Michael Fitzgerald, the incumbent Dem IA Treasurer, lost as well
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-iowa-treasurer.html
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Even THE gold standard poll (Des Moines Register/Ann Selzer) was SHIT: They had Tom Miller up 16 (Original Post)
Celerity
Nov 2022
OP
This goddamn state is now completely MAGA-land. Like Michael Franken said,
bullwinkle428
Nov 2022
#2
What the hell happened in those 12 days?? A 14 point swing for that poll is madness.
Celerity
Nov 2022
#5
ColinC
(8,335 posts)1. Does Iowa have much mail to count?
That could definitely save every close Dem there!
Celerity
(43,543 posts)4. NBC has now called it for MAGAt Bird, ffs
That sucks
bullwinkle428
(20,631 posts)2. This goddamn state is now completely MAGA-land. Like Michael Franken said,
no way in hell will I be buried here (or spend my "golden years" here).
Tom Miller was the embodiment of bipartisan support, over a ridiculous number of election cycles. That mediocrity Brenna Bird should not have come anywhere close to him in a sane world.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,368 posts)3. And 5 days out, they had Miller only leading by 2 points
Iowa Poll: Tom Miller holds narrow lead over Brenna Bird in attorney general race
Democratic Attorney General Tom Miller holds a narrow lead over Republican challenger Brenna Bird as Election Day approaches, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
Miller leads Bird 47% to 45% among likely Iowa voters. Another 2% say they would vote for someone else, 1% say they would not vote, 5% say they are not sure or do not remember who they voted for and 1% did not want to say.
The poll of 801 likely Iowa voters was conducted Oct. 31 through Nov. 3 by Selzer & Co. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
...
National Republicans see the race as a promising pickup opportunity and have poured money into Birds campaign. Her campaign has received $2 million this year from the Republican Attorneys General Association.
https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2022/11/06/iowa-poll-attorney-general-race-tom-miller-lead-brenna-bird/69616569007/
Democratic Attorney General Tom Miller holds a narrow lead over Republican challenger Brenna Bird as Election Day approaches, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
Miller leads Bird 47% to 45% among likely Iowa voters. Another 2% say they would vote for someone else, 1% say they would not vote, 5% say they are not sure or do not remember who they voted for and 1% did not want to say.
The poll of 801 likely Iowa voters was conducted Oct. 31 through Nov. 3 by Selzer & Co. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
...
National Republicans see the race as a promising pickup opportunity and have poured money into Birds campaign. Her campaign has received $2 million this year from the Republican Attorneys General Association.
https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2022/11/06/iowa-poll-attorney-general-race-tom-miller-lead-brenna-bird/69616569007/
Celerity
(43,543 posts)5. What the hell happened in those 12 days?? A 14 point swing for that poll is madness.
Bettie
(16,129 posts)7. The real Iowa came out
I am now fully aware that I live among monsters dressed as humans.
Bettie
(16,129 posts)6. I hope Rob Sand holds on
he's a good guy and a great watchdog.