House GOP Gains Revised Downwards

[applegrove]

House GOP Gains Revised Downwards

November 9, 2022 at 4:48 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 263 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2022/11/09/house-gop-gains-revised-downwards/

"SNIP........

Inside Elections notes that their Toss Up races “are breaking disproportionately for Democrats” and the most likely House range is now closer to Republicans adding between 4 and 11 seats.

Daniel Nichanian has compiled a spreadsheet showing Republicans have either won or are leading in 220 House districts, with Democrats winning or leading in 215 districts.

Remember: In 2018, Democrats gained considerably in competitive districts when late mail ballots were counted.

.......SNIP"

Applegrove: the 4-11 will be how much the GOP win by.

[WarGamer]

1. that's misleading.

Republican have already gained more than 4-11

They meant to say they believe the GOP Majority margin will be between 4-11

Words matter.

[question everything]

2. 2018 was a midterm when the minority party - us - won big as is traditional

[DestinyIsles]

3. Some NY districts didn't fall our way some I thinking its going to on the high end on that range

[ColinC]

4. Just getting narrower and narrower!

Wonder if the CA seats will come through for us!

[Azathoth]

5. In the House, a 3-4 vote majority is a death sentence

You have to whip your entire caucus for .every. .single. .vote. and suddenly every caucus member wants to negotiate with you for his vote.

It's honestly better to be in the opposition, because you'll achieve just as much but at least you'll have the excuse of being in the minority.