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SoCalDavidS

(10,599 posts)
Thu Nov 10, 2022, 12:55 PM Nov 2022

Warnock Is Going To Come Up Less Than 0.5% Short Of An Outright Victory

He's currently at 49.6% with 99% reporting.

24 hours ago, he was at 49.2%, so I wouldn't be surprised if he ends up at 49.7% or even 49.8% when all the votes are counted.

It's a shame that so many Georgians voted for the Moron the repubs nominated. Warnock only needed a few of them, and this would be over.

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Warnock Is Going To Come Up Less Than 0.5% Short Of An Outright Victory (Original Post) SoCalDavidS Nov 2022 OP
Probably a microscopic sliver of hope for the outright victory ColinC Nov 2022 #1
No other batches of voting - absentee, overseas, provisional? electric_blue68 Nov 2022 #2
50% is still possible Johnny2X2X Nov 2022 #3
When will we know? bamagal62 Nov 2022 #4
You got another Warnock fundraising message this morning, too? sop Nov 2022 #5
Yes! bamagal62 Nov 2022 #6
I think if the GOP take the house, Warnock is in good shape to win a run off. Johonny Nov 2022 #7
I agree d_r Nov 2022 #8
You're Right To An Extent SoCalDavidS Nov 2022 #10
you are right d_r Nov 2022 #11
In Response To Some Comments On This Thread SoCalDavidS Nov 2022 #9

Johnny2X2X

(24,355 posts)
3. 50% is still possible
Thu Nov 10, 2022, 01:05 PM
Nov 2022

No one really knows exactly how many votes are left to count. 44,000 is the last number I heard left, and that wouldn't be enough, but if there are closer to 80,000 left it's possible for him to get to 50.0%.

d_r

(6,908 posts)
8. I agree
Thu Nov 10, 2022, 01:33 PM
Nov 2022

I think this. If the race will determine the majority of the senate, the republicans will throw everything and the kitchen sink at it. If the senate is not in play Warnock will win easily.

What I mean by that is that the republicans are terrible people. If it means power to them then they will vote for anything. If it doesn't then they won't bother.

 

SoCalDavidS

(10,599 posts)
10. You're Right To An Extent
Thu Nov 10, 2022, 01:54 PM
Nov 2022

But a Senator is still a Senator, and they would rather be at 50-50 than 51-49.

So they'll put a lot of money into the race, and correspondingly, so will the Democrats. Even though control is not at stake, it's still 1 Senator in either party's column, and that's not irrelevant.

d_r

(6,908 posts)
11. you are right
Thu Nov 10, 2022, 02:01 PM
Nov 2022

50-50 wins the vote for us. They have to be 51-49. I wasn't thinking about that. Of course they filibuster anyway.

 

SoCalDavidS

(10,599 posts)
9. In Response To Some Comments On This Thread
Thu Nov 10, 2022, 01:52 PM
Nov 2022

The Secretary Of State has already said that a Runoff is a 100% certainty. I take that to mean there is no realistic chance of there being enough votes still outstanding, to get Warnock Above 50%.

With 99% reporting, I think he might tick up 0.1 or 0.2, but not 0.4.

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