My Sure To Be Unpopular Prediction - Bo Bo The Clown Will Win In Colorado By Approx. 500 Votes

[SoCalDavidS]

The Frisch campaign had anticipated roughly a 500 vote deficit when it came time to count these 3,000 remaining votes. Instead, it's over 1,100.

He'll need about 65% of those 3,000 votes to overcome that deficit. In his best areas, he hasn't been pulling those type of #'s. If you assume he'll get 58% of them, Mr. Frisch would shave 600 off the lead, and still be 500+ short.

So that is my prediction. They're supposed to release the results sometime tonight. It's not over, and he may still pull it out, but it would be Razor thin if he did.

[blm]

1. Would still need a recount.

Last edited Fri Nov 11, 2022, 12:59 AM - Edit history (1)

Quite possibly there were red areas who padded their votes, ala Ohio.

Remember Franklin County? Franklin County’s unofficial results had Bush receiving 4,258 votes to Democrat John Kerry’s 260 votes in a precinct in Gahanna. Records show only 638 voters cast ballots in that precinct. Bush’s total should have been recorded as 365.

[Polybius]

2. "padded their votes"

What does that mean?

[blm]

5. Ohio2004

Last edited Fri Nov 11, 2022, 12:57 AM - Edit history (1)

Franklin County’s unofficial results had Bush receiving 4,258 votes to Democrat John Kerry’s 260 votes in a precinct in Gahanna. Records show only 638 voters cast ballots in that precinct. Bush’s total should have been recorded as 365.

[Sympthsical]

12. Election denialism is situational

I.E. it's not denialism if we switch the sides of who's doing what.

I've never figured it out, but we're supposed to pretend not to see it.

[brooklynite]

11. So you're more insightful than the Democratic Governor and AG?

Its amazing that the ability to flip votes floats to whichever jurisdiction we're not happy with the results of.

[blm]

13. Wow, Chris.

Really?

[brooklynite]

15. Yes. Really

There is NO evidence that votes cast have been changed or replaced. In this election or in previous ones. Add to which, no losing candidate, elected official or Party leader says there has. Except of course for one Donald J. Trump.....

[blm]

16. There absolutely was in Franklin County. 2004

It was caught and they changed it.

And, if this one ends up close, a recount should be expected.

[brooklynite]

17. Nothing in the Scholarly Journal analysis

Long Lines, Voting Machine Availability, and Turnout: The Case of Franklin County, Ohio in the 2004 Presidential Election

Within polling places, does the scarcity of voting machines cause longer lines and thereby dissuade some people from voting? Are voting machines scarce in some areas because turnout would be low, irrespective of the availability of voting machines? In Ohio in the aftermath of the 2004 presidential election, the answers to these questions carried very real and significant political stakes. Consider the following from Franklin County, the second most populous county in the state. In precincts where voting machines were plentiful (i.e., where there were fewer registrants per available voting machine), turnout was especially high and John Kerry's share of the presidential vote was low. In contrast, in areas of machine scarcity (i.e., precincts with many registrants per available voting machine), turnout was lower and Kerry's vote share was higher. These relationships are shown in Figures 1A and 1B. Given the strong association between machine availability and the Kerry vote, if machine (un)availability was a cause of (low) turnout, then Kerry may very well have received fewer votes than he would have had more machines been available or had the distribution of available machines been less skewed toward precincts that were more supportive of George W. Bush.I appreciate input from SSRC Commission members Henry Brady, Martha Kropf, Walter R. Mebane, Jr., and Michael Traugott with whom I collaborated on the SSRC's “Interim Report on Alleged Irregularities in the United States Presidential Election of 2 November 2004” (Brady et al. 2004). I also thank Benjamin Bishin for comments on the paper. The Social Science Research Council and its staff, including Jason McNichol, Dashiell Flynn, and Sarah Alexander, provided generous support for this work. The views expressed in this paper are not necessarily shared by other SSRC Commission members or the Social Science Research Council.

https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ps-political-science-and-politics/article/abs/long-lines-voting-machine-availability-and-turnout-the-case-of-franklin-county-ohio-in-the-2004-presidential-election/D21BFB4306437B051038C53955F3A546

[blm]

19. So they missed the 4000 votes 'glitch'

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/election-2004-still-not-over/
https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna6418513

Your link was to an analysis of long waits and voting machine availability, not erroneous reporting of vote totals.

[electric_blue68]

14. Ohhh, I Remember that! 🤬

[mvd]

3. Razor thin is all you need. Even 1 more vote wins

That said, hoping the remaining are in good areas for him. It is far from over. Would be great to get Boebert out!

[iemanja]

4. :(

I'm not so sure yet. Though her lead has grown.

[Mister Ed]

6. Popular or not, it's quite plausible.

I'll keep on hopin' til the end, though.

[beaglelover]

7. It would be great if she lost. But if she wins

It’s not a pickup for the Rs.

[LeftInTX]

8. Um...we need that pick up!!

[genxlib]

9. Surely

If she wins in a squeaker like that the she will surely be chastened and conduct herself with more dignity and respect.

Just kidding. She would be even more angry and petulant.

[In It to Win It]

18. That's a landslide to her

[doc03]

10. Someone call the SOS and ask him/or her to find just 501 votes. nt

[Meowmee]

20. US re-elects a fascist, election overturning, insurrectionist supporting, dog murderer

Sadly it would be no surprise to me but it still feels horrific... I hope not and that he wins instead. A very sad state of affairs that these crazy people were ever allowed to run for office much less elected. There are no standards and only double standards for the so called rule of law.

[SKKY]

21. Unfortunately, I think you may be right...

...two people I wanted to see bite it hard were Lake in AZ, and Boebert. Not sure I'll get my wish in both cases.