(US House)Dems path to victory in tweets

[ColinC]

Link to tweet

?s=20

Link to tweet

?s=20

Link to tweet

?s=20

[nycbos]

1. The path to a majority is very difficult given the results in some of these seats.

Last edited Sun Nov 13, 2022, 10:10 PM - Edit history (1)

While we should still hold out hope to get to 218 we should be realistic.

What we should be looking to do (and I am sure this has occurred to a master tactician like Nancy Pelosi) is to start having quiet conversations with some of the non-MAGA members of the republican party to cross the aisle. Republicans who were reelected in swing districts or who flipped seats in New York immediately start out as vulnerable. People in those districts aren't gonna wanna see two years of investigations into Hunter Biden. And they would be completely turned off if they start an impeachment process. Which is what Kevin McCarthy is going to have to promise the freedom caucus.

We can then do some horse trading with them. Such as an increase in the minimum wage for a tax cut for small businesses. Also, they might be amenable to closing tax loopholes that benefit the wealthy in exchange for portion of the new tax revenue raised going towards deficit reduction.

[ColinC]

2. The results are very partial in most of them.

Dems could still gain a seat technically. Making any assumptions or making any moves before we know what the results are is a very bad idea.

[nycbos]

3. Agreed.

All I'm saying is we should prepare for all contingencies. And I would be very surprised if Pelosi, Hoyer, Clybourn etc. haven't had the conversation I described already.

[ColinC]

6. Fair enough! :)

Time will tell!

[Bayard]

4. What's the current score?

[ColinC]

7. Probably about 212 in likely seats for Dems.

And about 212 or 213 in called seats for Rs. Everything else is pretty much a tossup.

[question everything]

5. If the path is thru twits, we are in big trouble

[ColinC]

8. This twit was the only twit to make a model that was more than 99% correct