Maricopa dropped

[AZSkiffyGeek]

97K ballots - 54/45 split for Lake
She gained 8911 votes.

That was over half of Maricopa’s outstanding, I think, and that wasn’t a big enough split.

I think Hobbs has this.
Unfortunately that probably sealed it for Hodge - he’s now down 894 after Schweikert picked up 3500…

[Grown2Hate]

1. You might ultimately be right about Hodge

(because I can't imagine the last batch being D favored, based on the last few), but he's only down about 900 votes; Schweikert just netted 3500.

[AZSkiffyGeek]

2. I was just coming to correct that...

It’s possible but very unlikely.

[kairos12]

3. If the same percentage goes tomorrow Hobbs wins by

17,000.

I might be missing some Pima County votes though that will help.

[AZSkiffyGeek]

4. Hobbs should pick up another 8K or so in Pima

There’s only about 150k left, I think. 40k from Pima and around 90k in Maricopa. The other 20k will probably balance out among the smaller counties

[blogslug]

5. From AP/Google

Governor · Arizona
From The Associated Press

93% reporting · The Associated Press has not called this race

Candidates

Katie Hobbs
Democratic Party

50.5% - 1,211,595


Kari Lake
Republican Party

49.5% - 1,185,584

Every time I've checked in on that race, Lake has been about 25,000 votes behind. She was never going to win IMHO.