Dave Wasserman @Redistrict - New House math:

[In It to Win It]

Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict

New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.

Link to tweet

[nycbos]

1. The fact that we are even having this conversation is incredible.

[Kaleva]

4. +1

[TheBeam19]

7. It really is. And we get the free entertainment

of watching folks question these things based solely on their forecast. If someone says something people want to hear, they applaud and ask for more. If someone says something people don’t want to hear, it’s “WHO IS THIS PERSON AND WHAT MAKES THEM QUALIFIED?” kind of replies. Hilarious. And it’s even better when it’s the same source, as it is with Wasserman.

Is he right? Hell if I know. I also don’t care. The votes will be counted.

[DestinyIsles]

2. I thinking 219 to 215 R

Which would be good for us to take back the House in 2024.

[Tactical Peek]

3. Okay

[vercetti2021]

5. Miracles can happen

So far we've seen many

[Stinky The Clown]

6. Is this more twitter bullshit?

[iemanja]

8. People have been relying on Wasserman for good news

Suddenly this post isn't credible?

[Stinky The Clown]

9. back off. i asked a question. i have no idea who this guy is

lots twittertwattle. i generally ignore it and often block words connected to such posts.

"people" may be relying on this person. i see it as one more twittertwattle

[iemanja]

10. Here is a bit about him

David Nathan Wasserman (born September 13, 1984)[1] is an American political analyst known for his coverage of elections to the United States House of Representatives. He has worked as an editor at the nonpartisan election analysis newsletter The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter since 2007 and is a contributor to NBC News.[2] Wasserman is considered an expert on redistricting in the United States.[3]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dave_Wasserman

[onenote]

13. One thing that distinguishes Wasserman from a lot of twitter predictions

Wasserman identifies the districts he thinks each side will win, instead of just offering a prediction of an end result with no attempt to explain how that result is reached.

[aaaaaa5a]

11. Perfect. It gives Biden something to run on

in 2024.

2-3 seat GOP majority? I don’t think they can elect a speaker. The J6 commission is finished. It’s in Mueller’s hands now regardless of who has the house. How are they going to lift the debt ceiling? Hunter investigations? Sure, that will work for the GOP brand! 😂

All I care about are judges. The senate handles that.

We are in great shape. I love having the contrast of Biden vs. the GOP house in 2024.

[onetexan]

12. +1 K&R!!

[onenote]

14. Wasserman is forecasting a repub majority of at least 5 and possibly 9 seats.

220 -213 with two not accounted for. The best outcome is 220-215; the worst outcome is 222-213. My guess, and its merely a guess, is that its 221-214.

But the chances of its being limited to a 2 or 3 seat majority are not good.

[In It to Win It]

15. The two tossups

Republicans are leading in both but in the CA-13 race, the Republican is leading by only 84 votes and only 61% of the votes have been counted. There is no clear lean for now.

On CA-22, the Republican is leading by about 2,900 votes, but only 53% of the votes have been counted so it's not an insurmountable lead.

[WarGamer]

16. Right now DEMS have 220... so it looks about like the same Majority that we have now, just flipped.

[Genki Hikari]

17. Mueller?

He's not doing anything these days. Did you mean Garland?

[Genki Hikari]

18. And J6 could be back on

If Warnock wins, then the Senate can pick it up and keep running with it.