General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsHere is the status of the 5 uncalled House races (NY Times)
According to the NY Times, Republicans have clinched 218 members of the House. Other sites say 219, and project Kevin Kiley the winner (where he is leading Kermit Jones by 10,000 votes). Still, I'll go by the NYT model.
California 22nd
David Valadao *incumbent Republican 52.7%
Rudy Salas Democrat 47.3%
86% reporting
California 3rd
Kevin Kiley Republican 52.1%
Kermit Jones Democrat 47.9%
71% reporting
California 13th
John Duarte Republican 50.34%
Adam Gray Democrat 49.66%
95% reporting
Colorado 3rd
Lauren Boebert *incumbent Republican 50.08%
Adam Frisch Democrat 49.92%
95% reporting (other sites say 99%) pending recount
Alaska At Large
Mary Peltola* incumbent Democrat 48.7%
Sarah Palin Republican 25.8%
Nick Begich Republican 23.4%
95% reporting, pending ranked choice on November 23
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/10/us/elections/results-house-seats-elections-congress.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=election-results&context=election_recirc®ion=NavBar
Hekate
(90,555 posts)SoCalDavidS
(9,998 posts)regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)Due to ranked-choice voting, the only way we win is if at least 10% of Begichs voters picked the Democratic incumbent as their second choice over his fellow Republican.
tinrobot
(10,885 posts)Very good chance we'll get more than 10%
muriel_volestrangler
(101,265 posts)https://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/22SSPG/RcvDetailedReport.pdf
Begich got 53,810 votes in the first round; 27,053 transferred to Palin, and 15,467 to Peltola (over 11,000 didn't give a 2nd choice). I think Peltola should win comfortably.
mahatmakanejeeves
(57,290 posts)rendered void?
MichMan
(11,868 posts)That being said, I dont believe there has ever been a recount in a district that has overcome a lead of that magnitude
SoCalDavidS
(9,998 posts)But wouldn't a candidate know better what their chances are. I doubt he would have conceded unless he felt there was no chance of overcoming the deficit.
roamer65
(36,744 posts)Sigh.
Two more Senators and one or two more House seats.
DemocraticPatriot
(4,306 posts)was a case of "uni-lateral disarmament" ??
I only supported the Michigan anti-gerrymandering initiative because the Republicans had mostly controlled the legislature for the past 40 years, and in "fair" districts we had a better result here, with Democrats seizing "the trifecta" in this election, finally...
Democrats believe in "fair elections".... sometimes, we are too good for our own good...