So if my scoring is correct

[durablend]

He needs to flip 3 if the two missing idiots don't return or 2 if they do, correct?

[NoRethugFriends]

1. 3 even if they do for a majority. 2 would make a tie

[House of Roberts]

2. I'm counting 432 according to MSNBC.

Earlier they covered that Ken Buck was ill, one member wanted to leave for his mom's funeral, and another had a new baby in Texas. So one of those three has made it in to vote on the 13th ballot.

[mikewv]

3. Actually one of the 3 missing is a Dem

A Virginia Congressman died in December or we would have 213 votes for Jefferies.

[jcgoldie]

11. Yeah but

I thought Trump said democrats let dead people vote anyway.

[mikewv]

12. LOL.... but not DEMS! nm

[House of Roberts]

14. Just heard on Randi that the Dem had foot surgery this morning.

He'll be back tonight and may have voted in the 13th ballot.

[Jarqui]

4. If the two who abstained/didn't show returned and voted for McCarthy,

McCarthy would need two of these people who voted for Jordan/other in round 13 to get a majority

Andy Biggs
Lauren Boebert
Eli Craine
Matt Gaetz
Bob Good
Matt Rosendale

Can you imagine trying to reason with Gaetz or Boebert (she's stupid so she might fall for something)?
I do not know much about the others though Biggs seems dug in.

[qazplm135]

7. Good also dug in

I'd guess Crane and Rosendale are their targets.

[mikewv]

5. 217 is the winning # if 432 show up and vote. nm

[jcgoldie]

6. Cnn reports both missing gop reps will return tonight

McCarthy is targeting crane and rosendale to flip… if they have all 222 gop voting that would put him over.

[mikewv]

8. If they return that would mean 434 voting, so he would need 218. nm

[jcgoldie]

9. Which he would have

If there were 4 holdouts instead of 6.

222-4=218

[mikewv]

10. Correct.

I was trying to respond to another reply. Sorry and thanks.

[OneGrassRoot]

13. Maybe anti Freedom Caucus GOP reps...

will start not voting for him given the reported concessions.

[Kennah]

15. 2 GOOPs flying back will put the House at 434, which means 218

The 2 GOOPs flying back are McCarthy voters.

214 now, plus 2 means 216, so he has to get 2 more of the remaining Gang of 6.