Did Nate Silver miss a state or why is his electoral collage numbers prediction not right?

[Maraya1969]

He had it at 313 to 225 Obama to Romney but the final results were 332 to 206 Obama to Romney.

I have looked at his map and the final election map and I can't find one state that he got wrong unless it is a tiny one that I just can't see.

Does anyone know why his electoral count is off?

[geckosfeet]

1. Floriduh? 29ev?

[HereSince1628]

2. OK if it's a joke I'm biting...

how many EVs does still vote counting Florida have?

[Maraya1969]

11. OK I thought Florida had 20 EV. That's the stupid on me. But yeah what everyone else

is saying makes sense too.

[modem77]

3. Don't forget his chart was trending upward for Obama the day before the election.

So picking up Florida would probably still make it accurate.

[bullimiami]

4. 313 was an average of all likely. If you look at his chart the highest probablility was at 330+-.

He did get everything right.

[Renew Deal]

5. I think 313 was the mean number

[lalalu]

6. Don't criticize my man Nate.

The other posts are right. Having a sibling who is a math whiz they use variable methods that can give them averages and means we don't bother to calculate. I consider myself decent at math but digging too far gives me a headache.

[CurtEastPoint]

7. Did you see him on Daily Show? Jon ribbed him about missing the ND Sen. race.

[lalalu]

9. Yes, Stewart was good this week.

[doc03]

8. If you remember he would make his predictions to the

tenth of a EV point, it was the average of the likely outcomes in his calculations. You can't divide EV in tenths.

[BeyondGeography]

10. I like the idea of an electoral collage

Can someone make one for me?