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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsCan the non-and never-rumpers of all flavors, collectively, impact the 2024 cycle?
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Can the non-and never-rumpers of all flavors, collectively, impact the 2024 cycle? (Original Post)
Stinky The Clown
Apr 2023
OP
ProfessorGAC
(65,173 posts)1. Not Sure What You Mean
I think the results in 2020 suggest that some "non-Trump" messaging had an effect.
Admittedly, I don't know how much but national elections are won on the margins
RockRaven
(15,001 posts)2. Do you mean impact for better, impact for worse, or either?
Because I think it is possible for either, but there are too many unknowns to predict which way if any right now.
Runningdawg
(4,522 posts)3. You bet! Some of them are poll workers and they won't be working for us.
kentuck
(111,110 posts)4. Reportedly Trump received 10% of Obama voters in 2020.
That would be over 6 million Democratic votes. Probably more than the number of "never-Trumpers"?
tinrobot
(10,916 posts)5. I think those voters already had an impact in 2020
Biden did 10 points better than Hillary Clinton among Independents, and he doubled her showing among moderate and liberal Republicans. He improved on her performance among two swing religious groupsCatholics (up 5 points) and mainline Protestants (up 6). Most important, he raised the Democratic share of suburban voters by 9 points, from 45 to 54%, and among White suburban voters, from 38 to 47%.
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2021/07/06/new-2020-voter-data-how-biden-won-how-trump-kept-the-race-close-and-what-it-tells-us-about-the-future/
I would think "moderate and liberal" Republicans would include quite a few "never that guy" voters.
Deep State Witch
(10,458 posts)6. Probably Not
Larry Hogan chose not to throw his hat in the ring for President.
pwb
(11,288 posts)7. All we have now is the media picks. Ron and Don
will be overtaken by someone who makes sense to all America. IMO.