Gen Z on Republican Party (from Reddit)
The kids are all right
(44k recs in 16 hours)
Source:
https://www.reddit.com/r/WhitePeopleTwitter/comments/1651e8t/gen_z_is_going_to_destroy_the_republican_party/
= new reply since forum marked as read
To what my generation thought we were going to be in the 60s. As our president just said, we have never fulfilled the promise, but we have never walked away from it
Trump would still be the President. Flip just 21,461 total votes from Blue to Red, split between just 3 states (WI, AZ, and GA) and Trump would still be POTUS.
Furthermore, just Millennials and Gen Z (not including Gen X) will equal the Boomers and up vote (actual votes not just eligible) in 2024 and pass them if you add in Xennials (the 1977-1980 born micro gen sometimes called the Carter Babies in the US). By 2028 we will demographically easily be the largest group in terms of actual voters.
We voted (often overwhelmingly depending on the exact age cohort and election) for Democrats by large majorities in all the elections we have voted in, including 2016, 2018, 2020, and 2022.
Boomers, plus older voters combined, voted majority Rethug in those same elections, even in 2008 (the only recent election where Boomers, when taken alone, went Dem, but just barely (by 1 per cent), and the older gens completely washed out that very slight, one-off Dem lean by the Boomers).
2008
2020
Gen Z, Millennials and Gen X outvoted older generations in 2018 midterms
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/05/29/gen-z-millennials-and-gen-x-outvoted-older-generations-in-2018-midterms/
The 2020 election shows Gen Z’s voting power for years to come
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/18/the-2020-election-shows-gen-zs-voting-power-for-years-to-come.html
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Generation Z, who are currently between the ages of 8 and 23, played a significant role in both of these records. NBC exit polls suggest that 65% of those between the ages of 18 and 24 voted for Biden — 11% more than any other age group. And in states like Georgia and Pennsylvania, young voters proved to be key to Biden’s success.
“I’ve been doing demographic analysis about the changing American electorate for two decades,” says Simon Rosenberg, president of NDN (previously known as the New Democrat Network) and the New Policy Institute. “53% to 55% of registered 18 to 29-year-olds appear to have voted. That may be the highest ever recorded in the modern era of politics.”
“Both Generation Z and millennials are voting generations,” says Brent Cohen, executive director of Generation Progress. “The preliminary data says, in fact, this was the election with the highest turnout rate of young people that we’ve ever seen.”
“Gen Z voters were very enthusiastic about this election,” says Karlyn Bowman, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. “A number of things appeared to be driving young people’s level of participation and level of excitement about the campaign and it wasn’t Joe Biden, though they certainly like Joe Biden overall. They were voting more against Donald Trump than they were for Joe Biden.”
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2022
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2022/exit-polls/national-results/house/0
https://www.npr.org/2022/11/10/1135810302/turnout-among-young-voters-was-the-second-highest-for-a-midterm-in-past-30-years
About 27% of voters between the ages of 18-29 cast a ballot in the midterm election this year, according to an early estimate from the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement at Tufts University, also known as CIRCLE.
Researchers say the 2022 election had the second highest voter turnout among voters under 30 in at least the past three decades. So far, the highest turnout during a midterm for this voting bloc is 2018 when about 31% of young people who are eligible to vote cast a ballot.
During a briefing Thursday, Abby Kiesa — deputy director at CIRCLE — said 2018 remains "a high-water mark" for youth voter turnout during midterms in the U.S. since at least since the 1970s. Historically, youth voter turnout has hovered around 20% during midterm elections.
This year, Kiesa said turnout was significantly higher in some of the battleground states — including Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In aggregate, CIRCLE researchers found, turnout was roughly 31% in those states.
https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/midterm-elections-2022/youth-vote-2022-midterms-democrats-b2221688.html
Younger voters were part of the blue wall that fended off a so-called “red tsunami” on Tuesday and contributed to a number of unlikely Democratic successes.
Exit polls from the National Election Pool (NEP), which includes a consortium of news outlets and the Edison Research group, found that younger voters aged 18-29 were the only voter group by age to overwhelmingly support Democrats in the midterms. Sixty-three per cent of voters in that age group voted for Democratic House candidates, according to the poll, while 35 per cent voted for Republicans.
Rep Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, herself a millennial lawmaker, predicted that the youth vote numbers were the harbinger of a “generational shift” in politics.
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It is hardly surprising to see us younger folk too often under the cosh here (I have seen far too many dismaying threads over my 5 plus years here), given there are so, so few of us who post on DU and given how much older DU skews in terms of active posters.
one example of the DU demographics:
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100216442990
responsive to my replies.
Millennials and Gen Z are now the age cohort bulwark against the majority Republican (on balance) voting Boomers and older Gens age cohorts, which in 2022 also unfortunately included Gen X. I so hope that that trend for Gen X is somewhat reversed in 2024.
Remember, in terms of actual 2024 votes, Millennials and Gen Z will likely equal all of the older Gens combined (and surpass them if you add in the Xennial micro Gen, those born 1977 thru 1980, who likely vote less Republican than the rest of the older Gen Xers).
Thus, your statement
62. Back down in 20
is invalid.
Half of Youth Voted in 2020, An 11-Point Increase from 2016
https://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/half-youth-voted-2020-11-point-increase-2016
Our analysis of youth voter turnout nationwide finds wide variation between states and underscores the importance of electoral laws and policies that help grow voters. We estimate that 50% of young people, ages 18-29, voted in the 2020 presidential election, a remarkable 11-point increase from 2016 (39%) and likely one of the highest rates of youth electoral participation since the voting age was lowered to 18. Our new estimate is based on newly available voter file data in 41 states—AK, DC, HI, MD, MS, NH, ND, UT, WI, WY do not have reliable vote history data by age. This analysis replaces our earlier estimate, released immediately after Election Day, which estimated a 5 to 11 point increase in youth voter turnout compared to 2016 based on data available in that moment.
In recent weeks, we released youth voter turnout in all available states by region: West/Southwest, South, Midwest, and East/Northeast. Those analyses offer more details on several notable states and have now been updated with the latest data. Our estimates of youth voter turnout rates in more than 80% of states are in some ways a tribute to young people’s commitment to political engagement and action in 2020, and their impressive ability to navigate a changing electoral landscape during a global pandemic. The data also allows us to zoom out, look at trends in youth voter participation, and draw some conclusions about what is and isn’t working to broaden and diversify the youth electorate. We pay special attention to laws and election administration policies that affect the ease of casting a ballot in each state—from voter registration to vote-by-mail, which can always impact youth voter turnout but may have had especially large effects in 2020, as the COVID-19 pandemic shifted election processes across the country.
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also:
