2024 House Election Polls

[brooklynite]

RacetotheWH is tracking the latest polling for all Congressional elections in 2024. Our new House Forecast will be published next week, on September 25th.

Our polling average is fine-tuned to use the polls to provide a more accurate read on the electorate, by weighing some polls more than others. We correct for each pollster’s historic bias, and we make aggressive adjustments for internal polling released by campaigns.

In the polling average, we give more weight to polls that:

1. Have been conducted recently
2. From pollsters with a strong track record of accuracy
3. Include large sample sizes

In 2022, RacetotheWH ranked first in calling the highest percentage of Senate and Governor races correctly and came within one seat of predicting the exact number of seats the GOP would finish within the House. We’re now forecasting the 24 Senate Election


https://www.racetothewh.com/house/polls/24

[former9thward]

1. For the Senate they are predicting Rs have a 58% probability of winning the majority.

R 52 seats, D 48 seats.

[brooklynite]

2. Both Ohio and Montana will be tight races.

And we're not likely to pick up Florida or Texas to compensate.