Biden leads Trump by 7+ in national matchup (Susquehanna)

[Zmarmy]

Let’s see what the media excuse will be to ignore this one.
There was extensive coverage of a Washington Post /ABC outlier that found Trump ahead by 10% last month or so.

So let’s be fair and spread this one too:

POTUS Matchup: Biden Leads Trump and the Kennedy “Spoiler” Effect
In a hypothetical match up between President Biden and former President Donald J. Trump, Biden leads Trump by a
47:40 margin; 6% prefer “GOP-friendly” candidate Robert Kennedy, Jr. who announced his intention to run as an
Independent, while 3% prefer another candidate. Four (4) percent are undecided. Kennedy appears to be pulling
critical support from Republicans that would presumably go to D. Trump. Among Republicans, Trump leads Biden 74:16,
but 6% of GOP voters prefer Kennedy, Jr. Among Democrats, Biden leads Trump 82:12 with only 2% of Democrats
voting for Kennedy, Jr. Independent polls show Kennedy is more popular with Republican voters [than Democrats] due
to his fervent anti-vaccine rhetoric and his support for GOP-friendly policies on COVID-19, including public criticism of
former NIAID Director Anthony Fauci and the CDC. Among Independents and unaffiliated voters, Biden leads Trump
43:31 with 10% going to Kennedy, Jr.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20231103_US_Susquehanna.pdf

[TwilightZone]

1. "GOP-friendly"

That's a nice way to put it. RFK Jr. definitely is that.

[TheRealNorth]

4. The thing is

Biden's lead grew with the inclusion of RFK in that poll if I remember correctly. I saw a clip by David Pakman where he covered the poll. The Biden-Trump head-to-head was Biden +1, with a lot of undecideds. With the the inclusion of Cornell West and RFK, it was also Biden +1.

Of course, it's only one poll and it doesn't mean things will stay that way.

[TwilightZone]

6. RFK Jr was always more likely to draw Rs this cycle

That's why I haven't been too concerned about his candidacy. There's little evidence that Democrats are going to be drawn by his stances on the issues. The only question was if people would pay enough attention to learn what his stances actually are and look beyond his family legacy.

I think as more people learn more about him, his support is going to drop into the low single digits, with that being almost entirely drawn from anti-Trump Rs and some right-leaning independents.

[rso]

2. Poll

Bet the msm will not run this extensively like they do with any poll favorable to Donnie.

[TheRealNorth]

5. Biden is leading...

Doesn't draw the "clicks" from the MAGA demographics.

[JI7]

3. Don't believe any polls .

[rso]

7. Poll

Agree, especially National polls which are not very pertinent given our EC system.

[LiberalFighter]

14. Exactly. Which is why the DNC has some states as high priority.

[Cuthbert Allgood]

8. The main problem is that a national poll doesn't reflect electoral college reality.

It's going to be close because of the traditional swing states.

[gratuitous]

9. Clearly this is good news for Donald Trump

For the rest of us? Yep, we're . . .

[ripcord]

10. I get a kick out of people decrying polls they don't like saying polls aren't reliable

But when a poll supports their position they rush to post it.

[Qutzupalotl]

11. I have to wonder whether Israel is affecting the race.

The thought of an unstable person in the presidency in this light must be giving people pause.

[usonian]

12. DON'T SAY THAT

The Fed will raise rates again until he trails.
(Extreme sarcasm here)

[johnnyplankton]

13. The pollster (Susquehanna) is rated B+ by 538

With just a slight Democratic bias (D+ 0.4)

[Smooth155]

15. Robert Kennedy

No way RFK gets 6% in 2024

[Sogo]

16. YAY!!!!

[elleng]

17. TOO EARLY!

[Takket]

18. nope. only polls that show drumpf winning are worthy of national attention

because the media knows those freak people out and help them drive clicks.

[BlueTsunami2018]

19. National polls are meaningless.

Because of the antiquated Electoral College, only the battleground state polls matter.

And even then, who knows? You can’t really trust any poll.

Always campaign as if you’re down by ten.