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Rustynaerduwell

(782 posts)
Mon Nov 6, 2023, 02:13 PM Nov 2023

As I remember 2011, when President Obama was surely going to lose his re-election,

many Democrats at that time were running away from him. I remember how angry I was that it seemed barely any Dems had his back or were pulling for him. And I remember thinking after the election what a lopsided victory it could have been had the Dems rallied behind him.

Maybe I'm remembering wrongly, but if not then all Dems now needed to back Joe Biden loudly and proudly if he is to win in 2024.

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As I remember 2011, when President Obama was surely going to lose his re-election, (Original Post) Rustynaerduwell Nov 2023 OP
I don't recall people saying he was surely going to lose.... brooklynite Nov 2023 #1
 

brooklynite

(96,882 posts)
1. I don't recall people saying he was surely going to lose....
Mon Nov 6, 2023, 02:15 PM
Nov 2023

I DO recall Republicans saying the polls were biased in his favor...

Unskewed Polls Founder Dean Chambers Takes Stock of Obama’s Win

Dean Chambers, creator of UnskewedPolls.com and titular leader of the movement that insisted the polls had to, just had to be wrong, had a rough night on Tuesday. Not only did his projection of a Romney win prove incorrect, but he was forced to concede defeat to Nate Silver, a man whom he’d dissed as “thin and effeminate” and a “poster child for the New Castrati.” We called a humbled Chambers the day after the election to discuss his poll-adjusting methodology and the future of unskewing.

Your website, Unskewed Polls, claimed that it was “erasing the bias” in the major polls by adjusting results to show much more favorable outcomes for Mitt Romney. You turned out to be wrong on Election Day. Why did you miss by so much?
The whole notion of the polls being skewed and unskewing them was a belief that they were oversampling Democrats. The majority of the polls that were quote-unquote skewed were around 6 percent more Democrat than Republican. Many of us believed that the electorate was going to look more like 2010 rather than 2008. We just turned out to be wrong in that belief or assumption or prediction, whatever you want to call it.

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2012/11/unskewed-polls-founder-dean-chambers-on-polling-bias.html

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